About This Market
San Francisco Giants vs.
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-09-03
This market resolved on 2026-09-03. Pittsburgh Pirates was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
San Francisco Giants vs.
San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (12:35 PM ET): MLB game held on 2026-09-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Blade Tidwell Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 97% | — |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 97% | — |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | — |
Blade Tidwell Under 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 95% | — |
Bryce Eldridge Under 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 93% | — |
Blade Tidwell Under 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 92% | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 87% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 88% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 78% | 96% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 86% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 76% | 88% |
Rafael Devers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 79% | 82% |
Oneil Cruz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 79% | 80% |
Brandon Lowe Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 79% | 79% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 99% | 78% |
Christian Koss Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 80% | 69% |
Spencer Horwitz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 97% | 50% |
Nick Gonzales Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 80% | 66% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | 61% | 83% |
Turner Hill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 80% | 62% |
Rafael Flores Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 80% | 58% |
Jacob Gonzalez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 80% | 57% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 69% |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 80% | 56% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 50% | 83% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 3.5 | — | — | 65% | 67% |
Bryce Eldridge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 75% | 55% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 50% | 80% |
Osleivis Basabe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Nick Gonzales Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 80% | 46% |
Henry Davis Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Andrew Knizner Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 80% | 45% |
Christian Koss Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 80% | 45% |
Pittsburgh PiratesWINNER | 99% | 61% | 99% | 99% |
San Francisco Giants | 1% | 39% | 1% | 83% |
Shay Whitcomb Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 80% | 41% |
Brandon Lowe Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 71% | 48% |
Bryan Reynolds Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 71% | 47% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 71% | — | 20% | 58% |
Blade Tidwell Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 59% | 54% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 60% |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 53% |
Jung Hoo Lee Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 53% |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 53% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 51% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 51% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | 51% | — |
Jake Mangum Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 52% |
Drew Gilbert Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 67% | 35% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | — |
Jake Mangum Under 5.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 50% | — |
Oneil Cruz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 50% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 49% |
Rafael Devers Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 50% | 49% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 1% | 48% |
Henry Davis Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 48% |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 74% | — | 20% | — |
Osleivis Basabe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | 50% | — |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 14% | 72% |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | 29% | 57% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 36% | — | 50% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 0% | 42% |
Blade Tidwell Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 43% | 37% |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 38% | — | 20% | 56% |
Lake Bachar Under 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 36% | 38% |
Jared Triolo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 10% | 58% |
Nate Furman Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | 20% | 47% |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 33% |
Blade Tidwell Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 29% | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 7% | — | 50% | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 6% | — | 50% | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 4% | — | 50% | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | 20% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | 20% | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 18% | — | 21% | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | 20% | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | 20% | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | 20% | — |
San Francisco Giants spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 14% |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | 17% |
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | 8% | — |
Jung Hoo Lee Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 8% | — |
Esmerlyn Valdez Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Andrew Knizner Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 5.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 6.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Blade Tidwell Over 7.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Brandon Lowe Over 5.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Bryan Reynolds Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Eldridge Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Bryce Eldridge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Koss Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Christian Koss Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Drew Gilbert Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jacob Gonzalez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jake Mangum Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jake Mangum Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Jared Triolo Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Jared Triolo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Lake Bachar Over 0.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Lake Bachar Over 1.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Lake Bachar Over 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Lake Bachar Over 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Lake Bachar Over 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | — | — |
Lake Bachar Over 5.5 Pitcher Outs | — | — | — | — |
Nate Furman Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Nate Furman Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Nick Gonzales Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Oneil Cruz Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Over 12.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 3.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | — | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 1.5 | — | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 2.5 | — | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 0.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Hits | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 2.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 3.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Devers Over 4.5 Total Bases | — | — | — | — |
Rafael Flores Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 1.5 | — | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 2.5 | — | — | — | — |
San Francisco Giants spread minus 3.5 | — | — | — | — |
Shay Whitcomb Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Spencer Horwitz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Spencer Horwitz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Total over 10.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 11.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 6.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 8.5 | — | — | — | — |
Total over 9.5 | — | — | — | — |
Turner Hill Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | — |
Turner Hill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | — |
Pittsburgh Pirates
89.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Pittsburgh wins the San Francisco vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 12:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the San Francisco vs Pittsburgh professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 3, 2026 at 12:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the San Francisco Giants and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for September 3 at 12:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Francisco Giants" if the San Francisco Giants win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the San Francisco Giants vs Pittsburgh Pirates MLB game scheduled for 2026-09-03 at 12:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Pittsburgh Pirates: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.0¢ on Polymarket, 99.0¢ on ProphetX, 61.0¢ on Polymarket US; San Francisco Giants: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.0¢ on Polymarket, 82.6¢ on ProphetX, 39.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 81.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Pittsburgh Pirates at 89.5¢ implies about a 89.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.