About This Market
Tampa Bay Rays vs.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-10
This market resolved on 2026-08-10. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Tampa Bay Rays vs.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Athletics (9:40 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Donovan Walton Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Jacob Wilson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 100% | — |
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jacob Lopez Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Jacob Wilson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 4.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 5.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Taylor Walls Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Carlos Cortes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Nick Fortes Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Zack Gelof Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 99% |
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jonah Heim Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 99% | — |
Carson Williams Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Tyler Soderstrom Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 98% | — |
Tommy White Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 97% |
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER | 99% | 97% | 45% | 98% |
Jacob Wilson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 94% | 99% |
Chandler Simpson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | — |
Jeff McNeil Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | — |
Donovan Walton Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 95% | 99% |
Carson Williams Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Jonny DeLuca Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Ryan Vilade Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 85% | 99% |
Tyler Soderstrom Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 83% | 99% |
Lawrence Butler Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 99% |
Henry Bolte Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Jonah Heim Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 86% |
Total over 13.5 | 99% | — | — | 87% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 84% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 82% |
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 83% |
Jacob Lopez Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 79% | — |
Jacob Lopez Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 79% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 73% | 84% |
Athletics spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Carson Williams Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 76% |
Donovan Walton Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 75% |
Total over 14.5 | 99% | — | — | 74% |
Freddy Peralta Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 52% | 92% |
Freddy Peralta Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 71% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 71% |
Total over 6.5 | 99% | — | — | 70% |
Henry Bolte Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 68% |
Total over 8.5 | 99% | — | — | 68% |
Donovan Walton Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Total over 12.5 | 99% | — | — | 67% |
Jacob Lopez Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 67% | — |
Carlos Cortes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Ryan Vilade Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Zack Gelof Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Freddy Peralta Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 52% | 78% |
Carlos Cortes Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Carson Williams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | 54% | 73% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 28% | 98% |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Tyler Soderstrom Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Total over 7.5 | 99% | — | — | 61% |
Jacob Lopez Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 42% | 79% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Lawrence Butler Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Taylor Walls Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 60% |
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Jonny DeLuca Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5 | 99% | — | 39% | 79% |
Jacob Wilson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Nick Fortes Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Jonah Heim Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
A's wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 57% |
Zack Gelof Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 56% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 56% |
Tommy White Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 82% | 29% |
Yandy Diaz Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Carlos Cortes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Yandy Diaz Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 47% | 62% |
Jonah Heim Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 91% | 17% |
Total under 10.0 | — | — | — | 54% |
Jacob Wilson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Junior Caminero Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Nick Fortes Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Tommy White Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Jeff McNeil Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | 63% | 40% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 51% |
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 51% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 47% | 56% |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 21% |
Jeff McNeil Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 9% |
Total over 11.5 | 99% | — | 37% | 63% |
Total over 9.5 | 99% | — | 53% | 47% |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Tyler Soderstrom Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 50% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 9% |
Athletics spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
Taylor Walls Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 49% |
Total over 10.0 | — | — | — | 49% |
Lawrence Butler Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 13% |
Athletics spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 53% | 40% |
Athletics spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 18% | 74% |
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Carson Williams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 46% |
Jonah Heim Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Zack Gelof Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 46% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 84% | 7% |
Donovan Walton Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 45% |
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 44% |
Athletics spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 61% | 24% |
Jacob Lopez Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 42% | 99% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | — | 41% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 40% |
Total over 10.5 | 99% | — | 46% | 29% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 36% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | — | 35% |
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 34% |
Jacob Lopez Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 34% | — |
Carson Williams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 33% |
Athletics spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 32% |
Total under 14.5 | — | — | — | 29% |
Freddy Peralta Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 29% | — |
Jacob Wilson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 28% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 26% |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | — | 23% |
Athletics spread minus 1.5 | 1% | — | 27% | 19% |
Athletics spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 21% |
Jacob Wilson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 28% | 10% |
Athletics spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 19% |
Total under 13.5 | — | — | — | 16% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 16% | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 15% | — |
Freddy Peralta Under 2.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 15% | — |
Ryan Vilade Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 15% | 10% |
Tyler Soderstrom Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 18% | 7% |
Carlos Cortes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 12% |
Jacob Wilson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Zack Gelof Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 11% |
Tommy White Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 10% |
Carson Williams Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 7% |
Henry Bolte Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 10% | 6% |
Nick Fortes Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 7% |
Jacob Wilson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 7% | 10% |
Donovan Walton Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 6% | 7% |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | — | 6% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 5% | — |
Chandler Simpson Over 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 4% | — |
Athletics | 1% | 3% | 40% | 4% |
Jacob Lopez Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 3% | — |
Tyler Soderstrom Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Carson Williams Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Ryan Vilade Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 2% | — |
Lawrence Butler Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 1% | — |
Jonah Heim Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Freddy Peralta Over 8.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jacob Lopez Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Jacob Lopez Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jacob Wilson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 0% | — |
Jeff McNeil Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Henry Bolte Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 1% | — |
Donovan Walton Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 0% | — |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Home Runs | — | — | 50% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays
84.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf A's wins the Tampa Bay vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tampa Bay vs A's professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 10, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Athletics, scheduled for August 10 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Athletics" if the Athletics win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Tampa Bay Rays vs Athletics MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-10 at 9:40PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 44.5¢ on Polymarket, 98.1¢ on ProphetX, 97.0¢ on Polymarket US; Athletics: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 40.0¢ on Polymarket, 3.8¢ on ProphetX, 3.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 54.5 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Tampa Bay Rays at 84.6¢ implies about a 84.6% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.