About This Market
Tampa Bay Rays vs.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.
MLB·Resolved 2026-08-23
This market resolved on 2026-08-23. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Tampa Bay Rays vs.
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 RBIs | 99% | — | — | — |
Nick Martinez Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs | 99% | — | — | — |
Over 2.5 runs scored | 99% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 97% | 99% |
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER | 99% | 98% | 100% | 98% |
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 96% | 99% |
Total under 9.5 | — | — | 97% | 94% |
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 90% | 99% |
Total under 7.5 | — | — | 95% | 92% |
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 87% | 99% |
Total under 12.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 8.5 | — | — | 96% | 88% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 92% | 99% |
Total under 10.5 | — | — | — | 92% |
Total under 11.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 84% | 99% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 91% |
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 82% | 98% |
Total under 9.0 | — | — | — | 90% |
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 80% | 99% |
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 79% | 99% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 89% |
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 88% | 99% |
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs | — | — | 77% | 96% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 78% | 90% |
Nick Martinez Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Shane Baz Over 2.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 81% | — |
Total under 6.5 | — | — | 79% | 80% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 75% | 83% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5 | — | — | — | 79% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5 | — | — | — | 78% |
Total under 5.5 | — | — | — | 77% |
Nick Martinez Over 1.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 75% | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5 | 99% | — | 100% | 71% |
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 67% |
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 85% | — | — | 48% |
Junior Caminero Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 66% |
Nick Martinez Under 3.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 46% | 85% |
Taylor Walls Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 64% |
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 63% |
Nick Martinez Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 99% | — | 54% | 72% |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 63% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 62% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 60% |
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 59% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0 | — | — | — | 59% |
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 58% |
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 58% |
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 41% | 73% |
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 56% |
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 55% |
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | 60% |
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 54% |
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 53% |
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 53% |
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 51% | — | — | 55% |
Shane Baz Under 4.5 Strikeouts | — | — | 41% | 65% |
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 52% |
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 52% |
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 52% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 52% |
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 50% | — | — | 51% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 39% | — | — | 60% |
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 45% | — | — | 54% |
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 47% |
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 42% | — | — | 50% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 46% |
Taylor Walls Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 0% | — | — | 44% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 43% |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 99% | — | — | 43% |
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | — | — | — | 43% |
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 43% | — | — | 43% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0 | — | — | — | 42% |
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 40% | — | — | 44% |
Total over 4.5 | 1% | — | — | 40% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5 | — | — | 0% | 38% |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | 38% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 RBIs | 37% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 37% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs | 35% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 RBIs | 34% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs | 32% | — | — | — |
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | 46% |
Total over 5.5 | 1% | — | — | 31% |
Total over 3.5 | 99% | — | — | 27% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 27% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 26% |
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5 | 1% | — | — | 25% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits | 24% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 24% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 2% | — | — | 46% |
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5 | — | — | 25% | 21% |
Total over 6.5 | 1% | — | 21% | 24% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits | 22% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 21% | — | — | — |
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs | 1% | — | — | 20% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 20% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits | 19% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | 19% | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 23% | 14% |
Total over 9.0 | — | — | — | 17% |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 17% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits | 17% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5 | 1% | — | 22% | 10% |
Total over 12.5 | 1% | — | — | 15% |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 21% | 9% |
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | 14% |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 14% | — | — | — |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5 | — | — | — | 13% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 13% | — | — | — |
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs | 99% | — | 16% | 9% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 12% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases | 12% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs | 11% | — | — | — |
Total over 7.5 | 1% | — | 5% | 14% |
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 13% | 6% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs | 17% | — | 2% | — |
Total over 10.5 | 1% | — | — | 9% |
Total over 11.5 | 2% | — | — | 16% |
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 10% | 8% |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits | 9% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 9% | 9% |
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 20% | 9% |
Total over 8.5 | 1% | — | 4% | 13% |
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 18% | 8% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits | 7% | — | — | — |
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 16% | 7% |
Total over 9.5 | 1% | — | 3% | 10% |
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 10% |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits | 6% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases | 6% | — | — | — |
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | — | 10% |
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | 5% | 7% |
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 7% |
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs | 5% | — | — | 6% |
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 9% | 5% |
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs | 4% | — | — | 5% |
Baltimore Orioles | 1% | 3% | 0% | 5% |
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5 | 2% | — | 3% | 32% |
Nick Martinez Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Nick Martinez Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Nick Martinez Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 6.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 7.5 Strikeouts | 3% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs | 3% | — | 2% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs | 2% | — | 1% | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 5.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 RBIs | 2% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits | 1% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs | 1% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Total Bases | 1% | — | — | — |
Nick Martinez Over 4.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | 1% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs | 1% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 5.5 Strikeouts | 1% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Gunnar Henderson Over 5.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Stolen Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits | 0% | — | — | — |
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 RBIs | 0% | — | — | — |
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases | 0% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 0.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 1.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 2.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Shane Baz Over 5.5 Earned Runs | 0% | — | — | — |
Tampa Bay Rays
98.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
PolymarketIn the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 23 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-23 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.
Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 97.6¢ on ProphetX, 97.5¢ on Polymarket US; Baltimore Orioles: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.8¢ on ProphetX, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 4.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, Tampa Bay Rays at 98.5¢ implies about a 98.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.