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Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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Tampa Bay Rays Wins: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-23

This market resolved on 2026-08-23. Tampa Bay Rays was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.

About This Market

Tampa Bay Rays vs.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits
99%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 RBIs
99%———
Nick Martinez Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs
99%———
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Shane Baz Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.5
——97%99%
Tampa Bay RaysWINNER
99%98%100%98%
Liam Hicks Under 0.5 Home Runs
——96%99%
Total under 9.5
——97%94%
Richie Palacios Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Dylan Beavers Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Leody Taveras Under 0.5 Home Runs
——90%99%
Total under 7.5
——95%92%
Cedric Mullins Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Gunnar Henderson Under 0.5 Home Runs
——87%99%
Total under 12.5
———92%
Total under 8.5
——96%88%
Jonathan Aranda Under 0.5 Home Runs
——92%99%
Total under 10.5
———92%
Total under 11.5
———91%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Home Runs
——84%99%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 3.5
———91%
Samuel Basallo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%98%
Total under 9.0
———90%
Coby Mayo Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Junior Caminero Under 0.5 Home Runs
——79%99%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 4.5
———89%
Yandy Diaz Under 0.5 Home Runs
——88%99%
Pete Alonso Under 0.5 Home Runs
——77%96%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 2.5
——78%90%
Nick Martinez Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%—
Shane Baz Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%—81%—
Total under 6.5
——79%80%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 2.5
1%—75%83%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 3.5
———79%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 4.5
———78%
Total under 5.5
———77%
Nick Martinez Over 1.5 Strikeouts
99%—75%—
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.5
99%—100%71%
Leody Taveras Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Richie Palacios Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Cedric Mullins Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Gunnar Henderson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
85%——48%
Junior Caminero Under 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Nick Martinez Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——46%85%
Taylor Walls Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———63%
Nick Martinez Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—54%72%
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
63%———
Junior Caminero Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Tampa Bay Rays spread plus 1.0
———60%
Coby Mayo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Tyler O'Neill Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.0
———59%
Liam Hicks Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——58%
Jackson Holliday Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———58%
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%—41%73%
Yandy Diaz Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——56%
Yandy Diaz Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Liam Hicks Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
50%——60%
Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Chandler Simpson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——53%
Samuel Basallo Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———53%
Samuel Basallo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
51%——55%
Shane Baz Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——41%65%
Colton Cowser Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——52%
Jonny DeLuca Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——52%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——52%
Jackson Holliday Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
50%——51%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
39%——60%
Coby Mayo Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
45%——54%
Tyler O'Neill Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———47%
Dylan Beavers Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
42%——50%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——46%
Taylor Walls Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%——44%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 1.0
———43%
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——43%
Pete Alonso Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Leody Taveras Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
43%——43%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.0
———42%
Richie Palacios Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
40%——44%
Total over 4.5
1%——40%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 1.5
——0%38%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%——38%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 RBIs
37%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
37%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
35%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 RBIs
35%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 RBIs
34%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 RBIs
32%———
Cedric Mullins Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%——46%
Total over 5.5
1%——31%
Total over 3.5
99%——27%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
27%———
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 4.5
———26%
Tampa Bay Rays spread minus 3.5
1%——25%
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits
24%———
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
24%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
2%——46%
Baltimore Orioles spread plus 2.5
——25%21%
Total over 6.5
1%—21%24%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Hits
22%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
21%———
Baltimore wins by over 3.5 runs
1%——20%
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
20%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Hits
19%———
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%—19%—
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—23%14%
Total over 9.0
———17%
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
17%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits
17%———
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 2.5
1%—22%10%
Total over 12.5
1%——15%
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—21%9%
Dylan Beavers Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——14%
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 RBIs
14%———
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
14%———
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 4.5
———13%
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 RBIs
13%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
13%———
Colton Cowser Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—16%9%
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
12%———
Pete Alonso Over 4.5 Total Bases
12%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 RBIs
11%———
Total over 7.5
1%—5%14%
Yandy Diaz Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—13%6%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Home Runs
17%—2%—
Total over 10.5
1%——9%
Total over 11.5
2%——16%
Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—10%8%
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Hits
9%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—9%9%
Coby Mayo Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—20%9%
Total over 8.5
1%—4%13%
Samuel Basallo Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—18%8%
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Hits
7%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Hits
7%———
Christian Encarnacion-Strand Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%—16%7%
Total over 9.5
1%—3%10%
Cedric Mullins Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——10%
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Hits
6%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 3.5 Total Bases
6%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 Total Bases
6%———
Pete Alonso Over 3.5 Total Bases
6%———
Jonny DeLuca Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——10%
Liam Hicks Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—5%7%
Leody Taveras Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——7%
Taylor Walls Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%——6%
Jonathan Aranda Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%—9%5%
Richie Palacios Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——5%
Baltimore Orioles
1%3%0%5%
Baltimore Orioles spread minus 1.5
2%—3%32%
Nick Martinez Over 5.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Nick Martinez Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Nick Martinez Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Shane Baz Over 6.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Shane Baz Over 7.5 Strikeouts
3%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%—2%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
2%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%—1%—
Gunnar Henderson Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 3.5 Total Bases
2%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 4.5 Total Bases
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Hits
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 4.5 Total Bases
2%———
Junior Caminero Over 5.5 Total Bases
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 1.5 Total Bases
2%———
Pete Alonso Over 2.5 RBIs
2%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Jonathan Aranda Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Junior Caminero Over 3.5 Total Bases
1%———
Nick Martinez Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Pete Alonso Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Shane Baz Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs
1%———
Shane Baz Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 4.5 Total Bases
0%———
Gunnar Henderson Over 5.5 Total Bases
0%———
Junior Caminero Over 0.5 Stolen Bases
0%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 Hits
0%———
Junior Caminero Over 2.5 RBIs
0%———
Pete Alonso Over 5.5 Total Bases
0%———
Shane Baz Over 0.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Shane Baz Over 1.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Shane Baz Over 2.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Shane Baz Over 3.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Shane Baz Over 4.5 Earned Runs
0%———
Shane Baz Over 5.5 Earned Runs
0%———

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.8%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

Tampa Bay Rays

98.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Tampa Bay wins the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Tampa Bay vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 23, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 23 at 1:35PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-23 at 1:35PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are Tampa Bay Rays: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 97.6¢ on ProphetX, 97.5¢ on Polymarket US; Baltimore Orioles: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 4.8¢ on ProphetX, 2.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 4.8 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (1:35 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, Tampa Bay Rays at 98.5¢ implies about a 98.5% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available