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Live prediction market odds for Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket and ProphetX.

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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / ProphetX

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New York Mets Wins: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET)

MLB·Resolved 2026-08-15

This market resolved on 2026-08-15. New York Mets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.

About This Market

Washington Nationals vs.

Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) — MLB game held on 2026-08-15. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

4 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket US
Polymarket
ProphetX
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Francisco Lindor Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%———
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Over 2.5 runs scored
99%———
Over 3.5 runs scored
99%———
Sean Manaea Over 2.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Sean Manaea Over 6.5 Strikeouts
99%———
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Marcus Semien Under 0.5 Home Runs
———99%
Jorge Polanco Under 0.5 Home Runs
———98%
New York Mets spread plus 1.5
——96%99%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.5
——92%98%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 0.5 Home Runs
——95%93%
Dylan Crews Under 0.5 Home Runs
——86%99%
Francisco Lindor Under 0.5 Home Runs
——83%99%
New York Mets spread plus 4.5
———91%
Francisco Alvarez Under 0.5 Home Runs
——82%98%
CJ Abrams Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Daylen Lile Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Jared Young Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Total under 11.5
———89%
Sean Manaea Under 4.5 Strikeouts
——89%—
New York Mets spread plus 3.5
———87%
New York Mets spread plus 2.5
——82%90%
Total under 10.5
———85%
Washington Nationals spread plus 2.5
——94%75%
Total under 9.5
——96%73%
Washington Nationals spread plus 3.5
———83%
Sean Manaea Over 3.5 Strikeouts
99%—83%—
New York MetsWINNER
99%79%100%83%
A.J. Ewing Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Andrew Pinckney Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Brad Lord Under 1.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Brad Lord Under 2.5 Strikeouts
——81%—
Harry Ford Under 0.5 Home Runs
——81%99%
Total over 4.5
99%——80%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Andres Chaparro Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Andrew Pinckney Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Bo Bichette Under 0.5 Home Runs
——80%99%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Brady House Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Harry Ford Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Jared Young Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Home Runs
——80%—
Washington Nationals spread plus 4.5
———79%
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
98%——50%
Total over 5.5
99%——73%
Harry Ford Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———72%
Total over 8.5
99%—100%70%
Brad Lord Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——81%59%
Andrew Pinckney Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Andrew Pinckney Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Brett Baty Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Francisco Lindor Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
Nasim Nunez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———69%
A.J. Ewing Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Carson Benge Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Dylan Crews Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Nasim Nunez Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———67%
Sean Manaea Under 5.5 Strikeouts
——92%41%
Bo Bichette Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———66%
New York Mets spread plus 1.0
———65%
Harry Ford Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Brett Baty Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———64%
Francisco Lindor Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
63%———
Daylen Lile Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Jorge Polanco Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———62%
Total over 6.5
99%——62%
Total over 7.5
99%—99%62%
Andres Chaparro Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———61%
CJ Abrams Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Brady House Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———60%
Francisco Alvarez Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———59%
Marcus Semien Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———57%
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Jacob Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Luis Robert Jr. Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———55%
Carson Benge Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%99%
Jacob Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Jared Young Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———54%
Brady House Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%99%
Total under 8.0
———53%
Andres Chaparro Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—91%16%
Washington Nationals spread plus 1.0
———53%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———52%
Andres Chaparro Under 0.5 Home Runs
——10%95%
Carson Benge Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—90%11%
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Jared Young Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———50%
Brady House Over 0.5 Home Runs
99%—91%8%
New York Mets spread minus 1.0
———49%
Total over 8.0
———48%
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———48%
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———46%
Brady House Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———45%
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Jacob Young Under 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———44%
Andres Chaparro Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Brad Lord Over 3.5 Strikeouts
1%——43%
Total under 7.5
——1%43%
Andrew Pinckney Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———43%
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
99%——43%
Total under 8.5
——0%43%
Total under 6.5
———42%
Harry Ford Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Harry Ford Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Jorge Polanco Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———41%
Andrew Pinckney Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Nasim Nunez Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
———40%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.0
———36%
Sean Manaea Over 5.5 Strikeouts
99%—8%60%
Total under 5.5
———31%
CJ Abrams Over 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
31%———
Brett Baty Over 0.5 Home Runs
50%——11%
Total over 10.5
1%——26%
Total under 4.5
———25%
Washington Nationals spread minus 2.5
1%—18%29%
Total over 11.5
1%——21%
Washington Nationals
1%21%0%21%
New York Mets spread minus 4.5
———19%
Total over 9.5
1%—4%32%
New York Mets spread minus 3.5
1%——18%
Washington Nationals spread minus 3.5
1%——17%
Sean Manaea Under 3.5 Strikeouts
——17%—
Francisco Lindor Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—17%12%
Dylan Crews Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%—14%10%
Washington Nationals spread minus 4.5
———11%
Sean Manaea Over 4.5 Strikeouts
99%—11%—
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Home Runs
1%——10%
Jorge Polanco Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%——13%
Luis Robert Jr. Over 0.5 Home Runs
——5%14%
New York Mets spread minus 1.5
1%—8%9%
Francisco Alvarez Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%——11%
Dylan Crews Over 1.5 Home Runs
8%———
Marcus Semien Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——12%
A.J. Ewing Over 0.5 Home Runs
5%——9%
Jared Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——11%
Washington Nationals spread minus 1.5
1%—4%9%
Harry Ford Over 0.5 Home Runs
6%——6%
New York Mets spread minus 2.5
3%—6%28%
Daylen Lile Over 0.5 Home Runs
4%——7%
Bo Bichette Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——9%
Jacob Young Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——9%
Nasim Nunez Over 0.5 Home Runs
2%——9%
Andrew Pinckney Over 0.5 Home Runs
3%——7%
Brady House Over 1.5 Home Runs
4%———
Over 12.5 runs scored
4%———
Carson Benge Over 1.5 Home Runs
3%———
CJ Abrams Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Daylen Lile Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Francisco Alvarez Over 1.5 Home Runs
2%———
Andres Chaparro Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Brad Lord Over 1.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Brad Lord Over 2.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Brad Lord Over 4.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Brad Lord Over 5.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Brad Lord Over 6.5 Strikeouts
1%———
CJ Abrams Over 0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
1%———
Francisco Lindor Over 1.5 Home Runs
1%———
Sean Manaea Over 7.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sean Manaea Over 8.5 Strikeouts
1%———
Sean Manaea Over 9.5 Strikeouts
1%———
A.J. Ewing Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Andrew Pinckney Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Bo Bichette Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Brett Baty Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
CJ Abrams Over 3.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
CJ Abrams Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Francisco Lindor Over 4.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
0%———
Harry Ford Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Jared Young Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Jorge Polanco Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Marcus Semien Over 1.5 Home Runs
0%———
Luis Robert Jr. Over 1.5 Home Runs
————

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
ProphetXProphetX
ProphetX Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread21.1%
Platforms4
Candidates2
Winner

New York Mets

90.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If New York M wins the Washington vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Washington vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and New York Mets, scheduled for August 15 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Washington Nationals" if the Washington Nationals win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner of the Washington Nationals vs New York Mets MLB game scheduled for 2026-08-15 at 4:10PM ET. Extra innings are included if played. If the game is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from MLB.

ProphetXProphetX
Primary Rule

Sports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules

Resolution Oracles
ProphetX Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What does the Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket, ProphetX in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) odds?

The last available prices are New York Mets: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 83.5¢ on ProphetX, 79.0¢ on Polymarket US; Washington Nationals: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 21.2¢ on ProphetX, 21.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) odds vary across prediction markets?

The largest price difference shown across venues is 21.1 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.

How do Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (4:10 PM ET) prediction market payouts work?

For example, New York Mets at 90.3¢ implies about a 90.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds
No price history available