About This Market
Traders give Su Chiao-hui about a 66.5% chance. Lee Shu-chuan follows at 33.5% and Huang Kuo-chang follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket.
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for New Taipei Mayor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Traders give Su Chiao-hui about a 66.5% chance. Lee Shu-chuan follows at 33.5% and Huang Kuo-chang follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Lee Shu-chuan wins the 2026 New Taipei mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
PolymarketTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
The winner is determined by the official election results announced by the electoral authority. Factors such as voter turnout and candidate campaigns can influence the outcome.
Trading closes on November 29, 2026, which is the deadline for market activity. However, the actual election results may be announced after this trading close.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms currently tracking this election. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments leading up to the election.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Su Chiao-hui: 66.5¢ on Kalshi, 66.5¢ on Polymarket; Lee Shu-chuan: 33.5¢ on Kalshi, 33.5¢ on Polymarket; Huang Kuo-chang: 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.