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Live prediction market odds for Number of rate cuts in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

Kalshi

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Number of rate cuts in 2026?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Exactly 0 cuts95¢1.05xKalshiExactly 1 cut2¢50.00xKalshiExactly 2 cuts1¢100.00xKalshi
Compare all 21 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give Exactly 0 cuts about a 94.3% chance. Exactly 1 cut follows at 2.1%, Exactly 2 cuts follows at 0.8%, and Exactly 3 cuts follows at 0.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give Exactly 0 cuts about a 94.3% chance. Exactly 1 cut follows at 2.1%, Exactly 2 cuts follows at 0.8%, and Exactly 3 cuts follows at 0.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Kalshi is tracking the number of rate cuts in 2026. Economic conditions, inflation rates, and central bank policies will heavily influence the likelihood of rate adjustments during that year.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
E0
Exactly 0 cuts
single venue94%
Kalshi95¢
Kalshi1.06x95¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
94.3%94¢95¢5¢6¢
E1
Exactly 1 cut
single venue2%
Kalshi2¢
Kalshi43.48x2¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
2.1%2¢2¢98¢98¢
E2
Exactly 2 cuts
single venue1%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi83.33x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.8%0¢1¢99¢100¢
E3
Exactly 3 cuts
single venue0%
Kalshi1¢
Kalshi166.67x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
0.5%0¢1¢99¢100¢
E1
Exactly 16 cuts
single venue
—
Kalshi333.33x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
—0¢—100¢100¢
KalshiKalshi

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates21
Leader

Exactly 0 cuts

94.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the number of rate cuts in 2026?

Key factors include inflation rates, employment figures, and overall economic growth. Central bank decisions based on these indicators will dictate the likelihood of rate cuts.

How do prediction markets work for economic events like rate cuts?

Prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of participants about future events, reflecting their expectations through odds. These markets can provide insights into how investors view economic conditions.

Why is tracking rate cuts important for investors?

Rate cuts can significantly impact borrowing costs, consumer spending, and investment decisions. Understanding potential changes helps investors make informed financial choices.

What does the Number of rate cuts in 2026 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Number of rate cuts in 2026 odds?

The latest available prices are Exactly 0 cuts: 94.3¢ on Kalshi; Exactly 1 cut: 2.1¢ on Kalshi; Exactly 2 cuts: 0.8¢ on Kalshi; Exactly 3 cuts: 0.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Fed Rate-Cut Volume Hits 3.87x Normal as '17 Cuts' Jumps to 70%On Sep 2, $52,675 traded in the rate-cuts-in-2026 market, nearly 4x the daily average, with 'Exactly 17 cuts' surging from 10% to 70% in 24 hours.Sep 3, 2026