About This Market
Traders give Exactly 0 cuts about a 98.0% chance. Exactly 1 cut follows at 1.6%, Exactly 4 cuts follows at 0.4%, and Exactly 15 cuts follows at 0.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Number of rate cuts in 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Traders give Exactly 0 cuts about a 98.0% chance. Exactly 1 cut follows at 1.6%, Exactly 4 cuts follows at 0.4%, and Exactly 15 cuts follows at 0.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the Fed cuts 0 times starting Jan 1, 2026 and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
To be clear, 25bp of cuts is equal to one cut (so 25bp cut is 1, 50bp cut is 2, 75bp cut is 3, and so on).
Key factors include inflation rates, employment figures, and overall economic growth. Central bank decisions based on these indicators will dictate the likelihood of rate cuts.
Prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of participants about future events, reflecting their expectations through odds. These markets can provide insights into how investors view economic conditions.
Rate cuts can significantly impact borrowing costs, consumer spending, and investment decisions. Understanding potential changes helps investors make informed financial choices.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Exactly 0 cuts: 98.0¢ on Kalshi; Exactly 1 cut: 1.6¢ on Kalshi; Exactly 4 cuts: 0.4¢ on Kalshi; Exactly 15 cuts: 0.3¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.