Traders give December 31, 2027 about a 77.3% chance. September 30, 2027 follows at 54.0%, June 30, 2027 follows at 36.5%, and March 31, 2027 follows at 22.8%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 30.7 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Will QFEX launch a token by
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to “Yes” if QFEX officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only an official token launched by QFEX will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from QFEX (https://x.com/QFEX), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: 2026-03-25T20:27:15.98031902Z
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the deadline for QFEX to launch its token?
The deadline for QFEX to launch its token is January 1, 2027. Any announcement made after this date will not count towards the resolution of the market.
How will the market resolve if QFEX announces a token launch?
The market will resolve positively if QFEX officially announces the token launch before the deadline. If no announcement is made by January 1, 2027, the market will resolve negatively.
What platforms are tracking the QFEX token launch event?
Polymarket and PredictIt are the platforms currently tracking the QFEX token launch event. These platforms provide real-time odds based on market sentiment regarding the launch.
Will QFEX launch a token by: what does this prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
Will QFEX launch a token by: what are the current odds?
The latest available prices are December 31, 2027: 62.0¢ on Polymarket, 92.7¢ on Predict.fun; September 30, 2027: 54.0¢ on Polymarket; June 30, 2027: 25.0¢ on Polymarket, 48.0¢ on Predict.fun; March 31, 2027: 11.5¢ on Polymarket, 34.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.