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Live prediction market odds for Number of tornadoes in Aug 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Kalshi

Kalshi

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket

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Number of tornadoes in Aug 2026?

2026-09-01

Best price · tap to trade

80-9998¢1.02xPolymarket60-793¢33.33xPolymarket<401¢100.00xPolymarket
Compare all 17 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give 80-99 about a 82.0% chance. 60-79 follows at 1.8%, <40 follows at 0.4%, and 120–139 follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Traders give 80-99 about a 82.0% chance. 60-79 follows at 1.8%, <40 follows at 0.4%, and 120–139 follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the number of tornadoes expected in August 2026. This event is crucial for understanding climate patterns and assessing potential impacts on communities and infrastructure in tornado-prone regions.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
8
80-99
single venue82%
—
Polymarket98¢
Polymarket1.02x98¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
82.0%81¢98¢2¢19¢
6
60-79
single venue2%
—
Polymarket3¢
Polymarket30.30x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
1.8%0¢3¢97¢100¢
<
<40
single venue0%
—
Polymarket1¢
Polymarket142.86x1¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
0.4%0¢1¢99¢100¢
1
120–139
single venue
—
—
Polymarket500.00x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢—100¢100¢
4
40–59
single venue
—
—
Polymarket500.00x0¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
—0¢—100¢100¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates17
Leader

80-99

82.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Number of tornadoes in Aug 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Aug is above 50 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary."

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the number of tornadoes in a given month?

Tornado frequency can be affected by atmospheric conditions, such as temperature, humidity, and wind patterns. Seasonal changes and climate variability also play significant roles in tornado formation.

How do prediction markets determine odds for weather events?

Prediction markets aggregate insights from participants who assess various factors influencing weather patterns. These insights are reflected in the odds, which fluctuate based on new information and expert analyses.

Why is August a significant month for tornado activity?

August often sees peak tornado activity in certain regions due to warm, moist air colliding with cooler air masses. This combination creates the ideal conditions for severe thunderstorms and tornado formation.

What does the Number of tornadoes in Aug 2026 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Number of tornadoes in Aug 2026 odds?

The latest available prices are 80-99: 82.0¢ on Polymarket; 60-79: 1.8¢ on Polymarket; <40: 0.4¢ on Polymarket; 120–139: 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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