Taiwan Local Elections winner?
Live prediction market odds for Taiwan Local Elections winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Traders give Kuomintang (KMT) about a 63.0% chance. Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) follows at 36.6% and Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) follows at 1.6%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.9 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the Taiwan People’s Party wins the most mayoral and magistrate races in Taiwan’s 2026 local elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
The market resolves when the official winner of the Taiwan Local Elections is announced. This announcement follows the completion of the elections.
The elections are scheduled for late November 2026. Trading will close on the date of the elections.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the platforms monitoring the Taiwan Local Elections winner. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Kuomintang (KMT): 62.0¢ on Kalshi, 64.0¢ on Polymarket; Democratic Progressive Party (DPP): 37.0¢ on Kalshi, 36.1¢ on Polymarket; Taiwan People’s Party (TPP): 3.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
