Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Live prediction market odds for Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Compare all 8 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give $100M about a 5.8% chance. $500M follows at 5.2%, $300M follows at 5.0%, and $1B follows at 4.8%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.3 percentage points.
Polymarket
Predict.funPolymarketPredict.funOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Predict.funThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Opensea's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Fully diluted valuation (FDV) refers to the total market value of a cryptocurrency or token if all tokens were in circulation. It is calculated by multiplying the total supply of tokens by the current price per token.
The launch of Opensea introduces its token into the market, which can lead to price fluctuations based on demand and trading activity. These factors directly impact the FDV as it is calculated one day after the launch.
Initial trading volume, market sentiment, and investor interest are key factors that can influence the FDV on the first day. Additionally, any promotional activities or announcements made during the launch can also affect trading behavior.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are $100M: 5.8¢ on Polymarket; $100M: 5.4¢ on Polymarket; $500M: 4.8¢ on Polymarket, 5.6¢ on Predict.fun; $300M: 5.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
