Traders give $8M about a 82.0% chance. $200M follows at 73.1%, $300M follows at 46.5%, and $500M follows at 45.8%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 41.6 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Slingshot FDV above one day after launch
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Polymarket
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Slingshot's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Only an official token launched by Slingshot will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Slingshot (https://x.com/SlingshotDAO) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Slingshot's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
Only an official token launched by Slingshot will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Slingshot (https://x.com/SlingshotDAO) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Created At: 2026-04-03T15:59:38.965519814Z
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the resolution criteria for this market?
The market resolves if the fully diluted valuation of Slingshot exceeds a predetermined threshold within 24 hours after launch.
When does the Slingshot launch occur?
The Slingshot launch is scheduled for January 1, 2028, marking the start of the evaluation period for this market.
What factors could influence the FDV in the first day?
Initial trading volume, investor sentiment, and market conditions will play significant roles in determining the fully diluted valuation within the first day.
What does the Slingshot FDV above one day after launch prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Slingshot FDV above one day after launch odds?
The latest available prices are $8M: 82.0¢ on Polymarket; $200M: 59.0¢ on Polymarket, 87.2¢ on Predict.fun; $300M: 54.7¢ on Polymarket, 38.3¢ on Predict.fun; $500M: 52.7¢ on Polymarket, 38.9¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.