Prediction HuntPrediction.com
Odds
Sports OddsNFL OddsNCAAF OddsMLB OddsTennis OddsElections OddsPolitics OddsEntertainment OddsEconomics OddsCrypto Odds
Futures
NFL FuturesMLB FuturesNCAAF FuturesMidterm Elections
All MarketsTrending
PicksArbitrageSmart MoneyAgentsPaper Trading Simulator
Promos
Best Prediction Market PromosKalshi Promo CodePolymarket Promo Code
Compare
Best Prediction Market Apps
NewsCalculatorsBlogIndustry Data
OverviewDocumentationQuickstartPricing
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
  • Best price across Kalshi, Polymarket & more
  • Live odds, refreshed in real time
  • Arbitrage alerts
  • Follow the smart money
  • Exclusive sign-up promos
Prediction HuntPrediction.com

The home of prediction markets

Markets

  • Sports Odds
  • NFL Odds
  • College Football Odds
  • MLB Odds
  • Tennis Odds
  • Election Odds
  • Politics Odds
  • Entertainment Odds
  • Economics Odds
  • Crypto Odds
  • Results Archive
  • Trending

Edge

  • Picks
  • Smart Money Feed
  • Arbitrage Scanner
  • Paper Trading Simulator
  • AI Agents

Compare

  • Best Prediction Market Apps
  • Best Prediction Market Promos

Resources

  • News
  • Blog
  • Calculators
  • X
  • Discord

API

  • API Overview
  • API Documentation
  • Quickstart
  • API Pricing

This information is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Always verify resolution criteria and platform rules before trading.

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms of Use
  • API Terms
PicksSmart MoneyArbitragePromos

Live prediction market odds for TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9
Sign-up bonus

Get a $35 trading bonus

Sign-up bonus on Kalshi.

Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket

XTelegramWhatsAppReddit

TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Zohran Mamdani30¢3.33xKalshiDonald Trump11¢9.09xPolymarket USPope Leo XIV10¢10.00xKalshi
Compare all 21 outcomes across 3 venues

About This Market

Traders give Zohran Mamdani about a 30.2% chance. Donald Trump follows at 10.3%, Pope Leo XIV follows at 10.3%, and Dario Amodei follows at 7.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.4 percentage points.

Traders give Zohran Mamdani about a 30.2% chance. Donald Trump follows at 10.3%, Pope Leo XIV follows at 10.3%, and Dario Amodei follows at 7.9%. Compare prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 5.4 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the selection of TIME's Person of the Year for 2026. This recognition often reflects significant cultural, political, or social influences, making it a focal point for public interest and speculation.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

3 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Polymarket USPolymarket US
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
ZM
Zohran MamdaniARB
30%
Kalshi30¢
Polymarket US34¢
Polymarket28¢
Kalshi3.33x30¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
29.5%29¢30¢70¢71¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
33.0%33¢34¢66¢67¢
PolymarketPolymarket
28.0%27¢28¢72¢73¢
DT
Donald Trump
10%
Kalshi12¢
Polymarket US11¢
Polymarket10¢
Polymarket US9.09x11¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
11.0%10¢12¢88¢90¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
11.0%10¢11¢89¢90¢
PolymarketPolymarket
9.0%8¢10¢90¢92¢
PL
Pope Leo XIVARB
10%
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket US13¢
Polymarket9¢
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.0%9¢10¢90¢91¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
13.0%12¢13¢87¢88¢
PolymarketPolymarket
8.0%7¢9¢91¢93¢
DA
Dario AmodeiARB
8%
Kalshi8¢
Polymarket US11¢
Polymarket7¢
Kalshi12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.0%6¢8¢92¢94¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
11.0%10¢11¢89¢90¢
PolymarketPolymarket
5.6%4¢7¢93¢96¢
BN
Benjamin NetanyahuARB
8%
Kalshi7¢
Polymarket US10¢
Polymarket7¢
Kalshi14.29x7¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
Polymarket USPolymarket US
10.0%9¢10¢90¢91¢
PolymarketPolymarket
7.0%6¢7¢93¢94¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarket USPolymarket USPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Pope Leo XIV

Pope Leo XIV is the current head of the Catholic Church and sovereign of Vatican City. Before his election in 2025, he served as Archbishop of Chiclayo in Peru and was a missionary there. His extensive international experience and leadership within the Augustinian order underscore his qualifications for the papacy.

About Victor Glover

Victor Glover is a NASA astronaut and U.S. Navy captain. He piloted NASA's Artemis II mission around the Moon in April 2026, becoming the first Black man to travel to the vicinity of the Moon. Glover has accumulated 3,500 flight hours in over 40 aircraft, including 24 combat missions.

About Christina Koch

Christina Koch is a NASA astronaut and engineer. She holds Bachelor of Science degrees in electrical engineering and physics, and a Master of Science in electrical engineering from North Carolina State University. She has contributed to space science missions and remote scientific field engineering in the Antarctic and Arctic.

About Jeremy Hansen

Jeremy Hansen is a Canadian astronaut with the Canadian Space Agency. He was selected as the first Canadian to fly around the Moon as part of NASA's Artemis II mission. His extensive experience as a fighter pilot and astronaut makes him a significant figure in space exploration.

About Taylor Swift

Taylor Swift is a Grammy-winning singer-songwriter and the first entertainer to be named Time magazine's Person of the Year in 2023. She achieved unprecedented success with her Eras Tour, becoming the highest-grossing concert tour of all time, and was named Spotify's most-streamed artist globally in 2023. Her influence spans music, culture, and economics, solidifying her status as a leading figure in the entertainment industry.

About Péter Magyar

Péter Magyar is the Prime Minister of Hungary, having assumed office on May 9, 2026. He previously served as a Member of the European Parliament from 2024 to 2026. As leader of the Tisza Party, he led it to a historic victory in the 2026 parliamentary elections, ending Viktor Orbán's 16-year rule.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread5.4%
Platforms3
Candidates21
Leader

Zohran Mamdani

30.2% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: TIME's Person of the Year for 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Jeremy Hansen is Time Person of the Year for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This will count towards the payout criterion: If multiple persons win, all persons that are listed are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. If, for example, the Person of the Year is “Joe Biden and Kamala Harris”, both “Joe Biden” and “Kamala Harris” strikes are encompassed within the Payout Criterion. The person must be explicitly named as the Person of the Year or pictured on the/a relevant cover if they are associated with the group/concept winning (the picture is only relevant for a natural human being winning). Some examples to illustrate this: “Jamal Khasogghi” would resolve to Yes in 2018, when “The Guardians” won, as he is also named and shown on a cover and falls within “The Guardians”. Similarly, “Bill Gates” would resolve to Yes in 2005. If Time uses language that does not specifically refer to a person or organization (examples being 2018’s “The Guardians of Truth” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), Kalshi will resolve markets to the most simple meaning reasonable. In those cases, “Journalists” and “the Me Too movement” would resolve to Yes. This does NOT count towards the payout criterion: If there is no Person of the Year (and instead many variations thereof, e.g. Entertainer of the Year, Hero of the Year), that is not encompassed in the Payout Criterion. If “ChatGPT” was the Person of the Year, strikes of “AI” or “LLMs” would resolve to No, since even if they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous (and thus are not explicitly named), and are not persons, so it would not matter if they were identified in the image. Or if “Sam Altman” was the Person of the Year, and the cover showed a person using ChatGPT on their computer, “ChatGPT” would not resolve to Yes because it is not a person.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

If Jeremy Hansen is TIME Person of the Year in 2026, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by TIME Magazine. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they are explicitly named by TIME as TIME Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple persons, concepts, groups, entities, or things are named TIME Person of the Year, each such named person, concept, group, entity, or thing will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a non-human concept, group, entity, or thing, a listed person will still be considered to be TIME Person of the Year if the person is directly associated with the concept, group, entity or thing named TIME Person of the Year and is pictured on any official TIME Person of the Year cover. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was Architects of AI, Contracts for Sam Altman would have settled to Yes, as Altman was associated with the concept and pictured on the cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g., artificial intelligence), listed non-human concepts, groups, entities, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were TIME Person of the Year, Contracts for AI or LLMs would not settle to Yes because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g., 2011s The Protester or 2017s The Silence Breakers), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases non-human concepts, groups, entities, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, Contracts for The Me Too Movement would have settled to Yes in 2017.

Frequently Asked Questions

What criteria does TIME use to select its Person of the Year?

TIME selects its Person of the Year based on the individual's influence on the events of the year, whether positive or negative. The choice often highlights figures who have made significant impacts in politics, culture, or social movements.

How does public opinion influence the selection process?

Public opinion can shape the narrative around potential candidates, affecting their visibility and perceived relevance. Media coverage and social media discussions often play a crucial role in swaying public sentiment leading up to the announcement.

When is the announcement for TIME's Person of the Year typically made?

TIME usually announces its Person of the Year in early December each year. This timing allows for reflection on the year's events and the individuals who have shaped them.

What does the TIME's Person of the Year for 2026 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest TIME's Person of the Year for 2026 odds?

The latest available prices are Zohran Mamdani: 29.5¢ on Kalshi, 28.0¢ on Polymarket, 33.0¢ on Polymarket US; Donald Trump: 11.0¢ on Kalshi, 9.0¢ on Polymarket, 11.0¢ on Polymarket US; Pope Leo XIV: 10.0¢ on Kalshi, 8.0¢ on Polymarket, 13.0¢ on Polymarket US; Dario Amodei: 7.0¢ on Kalshi, 5.6¢ on Polymarket, 11.0¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Related Markets

Avengers: Doomsday: Rotten Tomatoes score

View

Top U.S. Selling Album (Physical and Digital Sales Combined): 2026

View

Oscar Winner: Best Supporting Actress

View

Oscar nominations for Best Actor?

View

Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream

Resolved Sep 27

Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Sam Altman Drops to 10% for TIME Person of the Year as Field FracturesAltman's odds halved in 72 hours on both Kalshi and Polymarket; Trump now leads the field as Pope Leo XIV and Mamdani add pressure.Jul 27, 2026Sam Altman Hits 20% for TIME Person of the Year 2026 as Repeat Bid BuildsA 9pp surge in three days prices Altman as a credible back-to-back contender despite a field that includes Pope Leo XIV and a socialist NYC mayor.Jul 25, 2026Papal Resignation Cuts Amodei to 10% for TIME Person of the Year 2026A 9-percentage-point drop in 72 hours erases Amodei's TIME100 gains; only the second papal resignation in modern history triggered the move.Jul 20, 2026Amodei at 22% to Win TIME Person of the Year 2026, Pending a MonkeyAmodei's 8pp surge prices in TIME100 recognition and Anthropic's $380B valuation, yet the market hinges on an unverified April report.Jul 15, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in 2025WONPre-event: 99%#1 Searched Person on Google this year?LOSTPre-event: 1%TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?LOSTPre-event: 1%Who will Trump talk to in JanuaryLOSTPre-event: 2%Who will Donald Trump talk to in March?LOSTPre-event: 4%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in 2025

Resolved

2025-12-31

WONPope Leo XIV
Pre-event: 99%

#1 Searched Person on Google this year?

Resolved

2025-12-31

LOSTPope Leo XIV
Pre-event: 1%

TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Resolved

2025-12-31

LOSTPope Leo XIV
Pre-event: 1%

Who will Trump talk to in January

Resolved

2026-01-31

LOSTPope Leo XIV
Pre-event: 2%

Who will Donald Trump talk to in March?

Resolved

2026-03-31

LOSTPope Leo XIV
Pre-event: 4%