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Live prediction market odds for Atlético Madrid vs. Manchester United. Compare prices across .

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Atlético Madrid vs. Manchester United Final Score & Odds

Champions League · Tue, Oct 13, 2026

All games7:30 PM UTCSoccer7:30 PM UTCLEG40¢BUR31¢
Soccer/UCL/Atlético de Madrid vs Manchester United
  1. 90+1'
    Stoppage time

    5 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  2. 88'
    ATM
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for R Le Normand.

  3. 87'
    ATM
    Substitution

    R Le Normand comes on for Giuliano Simeone.

  4. 80'
    MAN
    Substitution

    Matheus Cunha comes on for Bruno Fernandes.

  5. 80'
    MAN
    Substitution

    H Maguire comes on for Ayden Heaven.

  6. 79'
    ATM
    Goal2-0

    A. Lookman

  7. 74'
    MAN
    Red card

    Straight red card for L Yoro.

  8. 71'
    ATM
    Substitution

    Morten Hjulmand comes on for Julian Alvarez.

  9. 71'
    ATM
    Substitution

    Ademola Lookman comes on for Alex Baena.

  10. 66'
    MAN
    Substitution

    Joshua Zirkzee comes on for Youri Tielemans.

  11. 66'
    MAN
    Substitution

    Amad Diallo comes on for Marcus Rashford.

  12. 66'
    MAN
    Substitution

    M Mount comes on for Carlos Baleba.

  13. 60'
    ATM
    Substitution

    Jonathan David comes on for Kang-in Lee.

  14. 60'
    ATM
    Substitution

    M Pubill comes on for Pablo Barrios.

  15. 52'
    MAN
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Marcus Rashford.

  16. 45+1'
    Stoppage time

    2 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  17. 1'
    ATM
    Goal1-0

    P. Barrios

    Assist: A. Baena

Full timeUCL · Civitas Metropolitan Stadium
ATMAtlético de Madrid · 1-0-1
2
FT
Full time
MAN down to 10
MANManchester United · 1-0-1 · 10 men
0
Pressure by minute
1' Barrios79' LookmanHTFT
90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'90+6'FT
ATM2–0MAN
ATM attack →← MAN attack
Full time
Win chanceFTATM win–Draw–MAN win–
90+6'MAN · Shot blocked.
90+3'MAN · Caught offside.
90+3'MAN · Corner taken.

Match winner · 90 minutes

GRCG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT
Full timeUCL · Civitas Metropolitan Stadium
ATMAtlético de Madrid · 1-0-1
2
FT
Full time
MAN down to 10
MANManchester United · 1-0-1 · 10 men
0
  1. 1'Goal 1-0P. Barrios · assist A. Baena
  2. 74'Red cardStraight red card for L Yoro.
  3. 79'Goal 2-0A. Lookman

Match replay

Pressure by minute
1' Barrios79' LookmanHTFT
90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'90+6'FT
ATM2–0MAN
ATM attack →← MAN attack
Full time
Win chanceFTATM win–Draw–MAN win–
90+6'MAN · Shot blocked.
90+3'MAN · Caught offside.
90+3'MAN · Corner taken.

Team stats

ShowHide
1H2HT
ATM112
MAN000
ATM

Team stats

MAN
57%Possession43%
11Shots9
5On target4
2Corners5
35%Time attacking26%
17%Time in danger zone11%
11Fouls13
1Offsides2
1Yellow cards1

Match winner · 90 minutes

GRCG0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT

Closing odds

QuestionResult
Atlético MadridWINNER
Yes
Draw
No
Manchester United
No
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9

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Market rulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Atlético Madrid vs. Manchester United

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Atletico wins the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Atletico vs Manchester United professional Champions League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Atlético Madrid in Manchester United FC @ Club Atlético de Madrid (Champions League); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 13, 2026 If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Club Atlético de Madrid vs Manchester United FC UEFA Champions League match scheduled for 2026-10-13 3:00PM ET. If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, or suspended and not rescheduled to a date within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UEFA.

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Closing odds

QuestionResult
Atlético MadridWINNER
Yes
Draw
No
Manchester United
No

Market recap

Atlético Madrid beat Manchester United 2-0. Goals: P. Barrios 1' and A. Lookman 79'. Sent off: L. Yoro 74'. Kalshi, Novig and Polymarket settled the market on Atlético Madrid.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Frequently asked questions

What does the Atlético Madrid vs. Manchester United prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Atlético Madrid vs. Manchester United odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Atlético Madrid vs. Manchester United odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Atlético Madrid vs. Manchester United prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.