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Live prediction market odds for Bayer Leverkusen vs. Marseille. Compare prices across .

UEL scoresBrowse historical markets
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Bayer Leverkusen vs. Marseille Final Score & Odds

Europa League · Thu, Nov 5, 2026

All games7:30 PM UTCSoccer7:30 PM UTCLEG40¢BUR31¢
Soccer/UEL/Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille
  1. 90+1'
    Stoppage time

    4 minutes of stoppage time announced.

  2. 90'
    OLM
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Tochukwu Nnadi.

  3. 84'
    OLM
    Substitution

    Neal Maupay comes on for A Gouiri.

  4. 83'
    OLM
    Substitution

    Alexi Koum comes on for Ulisses Garcia.

  5. 79'
    B04
    Substitution

    Malik Tillman comes on for Ibrahim Maza.

  6. 78'
    B04
    Substitution

    Montrell Culbreath comes on for Jonas Hofmann.

  7. 77'
    OLM
    Goal0-1

    A. Gouiri

  8. 71'
    OLM
    Substitution

    Tochukwu Nnadi comes on for G Kondogbia.

  9. 71'
    OLM
    Substitution

    Tadjidine Mmadi comes on for Igor Guilherme Paixao.

  10. 68'
    B04
    Substitution

    Ezequiel Fernandez comes on for Robert Andrich.

  11. 68'
    B04
    Substitution

    Afonso Moreira comes on for Lucas Vazquez.

  12. 54'
    OLM
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Ulisses Garcia.

  13. 45+1'
    Stoppage time

    1 minute of stoppage time announced.

  14. 39'
    OLM
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Igor Guilherme Paixao.

  15. 6'
    B04
    Yellow card

    Yellow card for Miguel Gutierrez.

Full timeUEL · BayArena
B04Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 3-0-1
0
FT
Full time
OLMOlympique Marseille · 1-0-3
1
Pressure by minute
77' GouiriHTFT
89'90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'FT
B040–1OLM
B04 attack →← OLM attack
Full time
Win chanceFTB04 win–Draw–OLM win–
90+5'B04 · Shot on target.
90+4'B04 · Corner taken.
90+3'B04 · Shot off target.
90+2'B04 · Corner taken.

Match winner · 90 minutes

G0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT
Full timeUEL · BayArena
B04Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 3-0-1
0
FT
Full time
OLMOlympique Marseille · 1-0-3
1
  1. 77'Goal 0-1A. Gouiri

Match replay

Pressure by minute
77' GouiriHTFT
89'90'90+1'90+2'90+3'90+4'90+5'FT
B040–1OLM
B04 attack →← OLM attack
Full time
Win chanceFTB04 win–Draw–OLM win–
90+5'B04 · Shot on target.
90+4'B04 · Corner taken.
90+3'B04 · Shot off target.
90+2'B04 · Corner taken.

Team stats

ShowHide
1H2HT
B04000
OLM011
B04

Team stats

OLM
57%Possession43%
10Shots7
3On target3
6Corners2
30%Time attacking20%
13%Time in danger zone6%
6Fouls12
0Offsides0
1Yellow cards3

Match winner · 90 minutes

G0%25%50%75%100%1'HTFT

Closing odds

QuestionResult
MarseilleWINNER
Yes
Bayer Leverkusen
No
Draw
No
Kalshi

Kalshi

4.9

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Legal in USAVerified Nov 2, 2026

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Market rulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Bayer Leverkusen vs. Marseille

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Leverkusen wins the Leverkusen vs Marseille professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the Leverkusen vs Marseille professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 5, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
NovigNovig
Primary Rule

Bayer Leverkusen in Olympique de Marseille @ Bayer 04 Leverkusen (Europa League); settled by Novig.

PolymarketPolymarket
Primary Rule

In the upcoming game, scheduled for November 5, 2026 If Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic OracleConsensus of Sources
Polymarket USPolymarket US
Primary Rule

This market will settle to the winner at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time in the Bayer Leverkusen vs Olympique Marseille UEL match scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 3:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match is tied following 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market will settle to Tie. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UEFA.

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Closing odds

QuestionKick-off
MarseilleWINNER
13¢
Bayer Leverkusen
71¢
Draw
18¢

Market recap

Marseille beat Bayer Leverkusen 1-0. At kick-off the market gave Marseille a 13% chance, behind Bayer Leverkusen at 71%. Goals: A. Gouiri 77'. Kalshi, Novig, Polymarket and Polymarket US settled the market on Marseille.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

Frequently asked questions

What does the Bayer Leverkusen vs. Marseille prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What were the last available Bayer Leverkusen vs. Marseille odds?

No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Why do Bayer Leverkusen vs. Marseille odds vary across prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

How do Bayer Leverkusen vs. Marseille prediction market payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.