About This Market
Brendan Allen vs.
Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan: UFC fight held on 2026-10-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan
Live prediction market odds for Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan. Compare prices across .

Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Oct 11, 2026. Brendan Allen was the officially declared outcome.
Brendan Allen vs.
Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan: UFC fight held on 2026-10-11. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Allen to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Brendan AllenWINNER | Yes |
Brendan Allen by Submission | Yes |
Duncan to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | Yes |
Fight won by decision: No | Yes |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Fight won by submission: Yes | Yes |
Over 0.5 Rounds | Yes |
Over 1.5 Rounds | Yes |
Over 2.5 Rounds | Yes |
Over 3.5 Rounds | Yes |
Over 4.5 Rounds | Yes |
Allen to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Brendan Allen by Decision | No |
Brendan Allen by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Brendan Allen to win in Round 1 | No |
Brendan Allen to win in Round 2 | No |
Brendan Allen to win in Round 3 | No |
Christian Duncan by Decision | No |
Christian Duncan by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Christian Duncan by Submission | No |
Christian Duncan to win in Round 1 | No |
Christian Duncan to win in Round 2 | No |
Christian Duncan to win in Round 3 | No |
Christian Leroy Duncan | No |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | No |
Draw/No Contest | No |
Duncan to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | No |
Fight won by decision: Yes | No |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Fight won by submission: No | No |
Under 0.5 Rounds | No |
Under 1.5 Rounds | No |
Under 2.5 Rounds | No |
Under 3.5 Rounds | No |
Under 4.5 Rounds | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Christian Duncan wins the Allen vs Duncan professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Allen vs Duncan professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Brendan Allen" if Brendan Allen is officially declared the winner of the fight against Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Christian Leroy Duncan" if Christian Leroy Duncan is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.