About This Market
Ismael Bonfim vs.
Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado: UFC fight held on 2026-10-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado
Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado
Live prediction market odds for Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado. Compare prices across .
Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Oct 10, 2026. Francisco Prado was the officially declared outcome.
Ismael Bonfim vs.
Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado: UFC fight held on 2026-10-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Bonfim to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | Yes |
Fight won by decision: No | Yes |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | Yes |
Fight won by submission: No | Yes |
Francisco PradoWINNER | Yes |
Francisco Prado by KO/TKO/DQ | Yes |
Francisco Prado to win in Round 1 | Yes |
Over 0.5 Rounds | Yes |
Prado to win by KO/TKO: Yes | Yes |
Under 1.5 Rounds | Yes |
Under 2.5 Rounds | Yes |
Bonfim to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Decision / Draw / No Contest | No |
Draw/No Contest | No |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | No |
Fight won by decision: Yes | No |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | No |
Fight won by submission: Yes | No |
Francisco Prado by Decision | No |
Francisco Prado by Submission | No |
Francisco Prado to win in Round 2 | No |
Francisco Prado to win in Round 3 | No |
Ismael Bonfim | No |
Ismael Bonfim by Decision | No |
Ismael Bonfim by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Ismael Bonfim by Submission | No |
Ismael Bonfim to win in Round 1 | No |
Ismael Bonfim to win in Round 2 | No |
Ismael Bonfim to win in Round 3 | No |
Over 1.5 Rounds | No |
Over 2.5 Rounds | No |
Prado to win by KO/TKO: No | No |
Under 0.5 Rounds | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Ismael Bonfim wins the Prado vs Bonfim professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Prado vs Bonfim professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
NovigIsmael Bonfim in Ismael Bonfim @ Francisco Prado (UFC); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Ismael Bonfim" if Ismael Bonfim is officially declared the winner of the fight against Francisco Prado at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Francisco Prado" if Francisco Prado is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim UFC fight scheduled for October 10 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.