Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite
Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite
Live prediction market odds for Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite. Compare prices across .
Archived, venue decision pending Listed
This event is archived while we await a venue decision. The chart below shows historical odds.
Melissa Gatto vs.
Melissa Gatto vs. Ernesta Kareckaite: UFC fight held on 2026-10-10. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Decision / Draw / No Contest | Yes |
Draw/No Contest | Yes |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | Yes |
Fight won by decision: No | Yes |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Fight won by submission: No | Yes |
Gatto to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Kareckaite to win by KO/TKO: No | Yes |
Over 0.5 Rounds | Yes |
Over 1.5 Rounds | Yes |
Over 2.5 Rounds | Yes |
Ernesta Kareckaite | No result (voided) |
Melissa Gatto | No result (voided) |
Ernesta Kareckaite by Decision | No |
Ernesta Kareckaite by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Ernesta Kareckaite by Submission | No |
Ernesta Kareckaite to win in Round 1 | No |
Ernesta Kareckaite to win in Round 2 | No |
Ernesta Kareckaite to win in Round 3 | No |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | No |
Fight won by decision: Yes | No |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Fight won by submission: Yes | No |
Gatto to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Kareckaite to win by KO/TKO: Yes | No |
Melissa Gatto by Decision | No |
Melissa Gatto by KO/TKO/DQ | No |
Melissa Gatto by Submission | No |
Melissa Gatto to win in Round 1 | No |
Melissa Gatto to win in Round 2 | No |
Melissa Gatto to win in Round 3 | No |
Under 0.5 Rounds | No |
Under 1.5 Rounds | No |
Under 2.5 Rounds | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Ernesta Kareckaite wins the Kareckaite vs Gatto professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Kareckaite vs Gatto professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 10, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
NovigErnesta Kareckaite in Melissa Gatto @ Ernesta Kareckaite (UFC); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Melissa Gatto" if Melissa Gatto is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ernesta Kareckaite at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026. It will resolve to "Ernesta Kareckaite" if Ernesta Kareckaite is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto UFC fight scheduled for October 10 at 5:00PM ET. If the fight ends in a draw or is declared a no contest, the market will settle to $0.50. If the fight is cancelled before the opening bell, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If the fight is not held within two weeks of the originally scheduled date, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from UFC.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.