Live prediction market odds for Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya. Compare prices across Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-09-27
This market resolved on 2026-09-27. Valesca Machado was the officially declared outcome.
Valesca Machado vs.
Valesca Machado vs. Melissa Amaya: UFC fight held on 2026-09-27. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |
|---|---|
Fight won by decision: No | 99% |
Fight won by submission: No | 81% |
Amaya to win by KO/TKO: No | 76% |
Fight to Go the Distance: No | 34% |
Machado to win by KO/TKO: No | 7% |
Fight won by KO/TKO: No | 2% |
Amaya to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — |
Fight to Go the Distance: Yes | — |
Fight won by decision: Yes | — |
Fight won by KO/TKO: Yes | — |
Fight won by submission: Yes | — |
Machado to win by KO/TKO: Yes | — |
Melissa Amaya | — |
Over 0.5 Rounds | — |
Over 1.5 Rounds | — |
Over 2.5 Rounds | — |
Under 0.5 Rounds | — |
Under 1.5 Rounds | — |
Under 2.5 Rounds | — |
Valesca MachadoWINNER | — |
Melissa Amaya
0.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Melissa Amaya wins the Amaya vs Machado professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Amaya vs Machado professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Valesca Machado" if Valesca Machado is officially declared the winner of the fight against Melissa Amaya at UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos, scheduled for September 26, 2026. It will resolve to "Melissa Amaya" if Melissa Amaya is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 10, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.
