Traders give Elena Rybakina about a 99.2% chance. Mirra Andreeva follows at 2.8%, Aryna Sabalenka follows at 1.8%, and Jessica Pegula follows at 0.8%. Compare prices from Polymarket US and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.5 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Women's Pro Tennis No. 1 on Dec 31, 2026
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Polymarket US.
Polymarket
Primary Rule
This market will resolve according to the player who finishes World No. 1 in the official 2026 WTA year-end singles rankings, as published by the WTA at the conclusion of the 2026 season.
If the 2026 year-end rankings are not published, are canceled, or a year-end No. 1 has not been determined by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If multiple players are tied and officially recognized as co-No. 1, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be the official WTA year-end singles rankings as published by the WTA (https://www.wtatennis.com/rankings/singles); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution Oracles
UMA Optimistic Oraclewtatennis.comConsensus of Sources
Polymarket US
Primary Rule
This market will settle to Yes if Elena Rybakina is the World Number One in Professional Women's Tennis on December 31st, 2026 at 11:59pm ET. Outcome sourced from the WTA.
Frequently Asked Questions
How is the Women's Pro Tennis No. 1 determined?
The Women's Pro Tennis No. 1 is determined by the official WTA rankings, which are calculated based on players' performances in various tournaments throughout the year.
What factors influence the odds in this market?
Odds in this market are influenced by players' performances in tournaments, injuries, and other developments in the women's tennis circuit leading up to the ranking date.
When does trading close for this market?
Trading for this market is scheduled to close on January 15, 2027, after the WTA rankings for December 31, 2026, are finalized.
What does the Women's Pro Tennis No. 1 on Dec 31, 2026 prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket US, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Women's Pro Tennis No. 1 on Dec 31, 2026 odds?
The latest available prices are Elena Rybakina: 99.9¢ on Polymarket, 98.5¢ on Polymarket US; Mirra Andreeva: 4.5¢ on Polymarket, 1.0¢ on Polymarket US; Aryna Sabalenka: 2.1¢ on Polymarket, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US; Jessica Pegula: 0.1¢ on Polymarket, 1.5¢ on Polymarket US. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.