Traders give $200M about a 59.3% chance. $600M follows at 34.7%, $1.5B follows at 29.4%, and $2B follows at 28.9%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 38.5 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Unit FDV above one day after launch
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.fun
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unit's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unit (https://hyperunit.xyz/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Created At: 2026-03-02T13:05:50.962192025Z
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the resolution date for this event?
The resolution date for this event is January 1, 2028, one day after the launch of the Unit token.
What determines the outcome of this market?
The outcome is determined by whether the fully diluted valuation of the Unit token exceeds a specified threshold on the resolution date.
Which platforms are tracking this event?
This event is being tracked by Polymarket and PredictIt, providing real-time odds on the market's outcome.
What does the Unit FDV above one day after launch prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Unit FDV above one day after launch odds?
The latest available prices are $200M: 40.0¢ on Polymarket, 78.5¢ on Predict.fun; $600M: 24.5¢ on Polymarket, 44.9¢ on Predict.fun; $1.5B: 17.0¢ on Polymarket, 41.7¢ on Predict.fun; $2B: 15.0¢ on Polymarket, 42.7¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.