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Live prediction market odds for Surf FDV above one day after launch. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Surf FDV above one day after launch

2028-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

$50M71¢1.41xPolymarket$100M48¢2.08xPolymarket$200M36¢2.78xPolymarket
Compare all 5 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give $50M about a 62.4% chance. $100M follows at 50.3%, $200M follows at 28.5%, and $500M follows at 20.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 14.6 percentage points.

Traders give $50M about a 62.4% chance. $100M follows at 50.3%, $200M follows at 28.5%, and $500M follows at 20.0%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 14.6 percentage points.

Polymarket and PredictIt are tracking the event of Surf FDV exceeding one day after its launch. This market resolves based on whether the FDV surpasses a specific threshold within 24 hours post-launch on January 1, 2028, with odds fluctuating based on early trading activity and market sentiment.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
$
$50M
62%
Polymarket71¢
Predict.fun76¢
Polymarket1.41x71¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
62.5%54¢71¢29¢46¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
62.3%49¢76¢24¢51¢
$
$100M
50%
Polymarket48¢
Predict.fun78¢
Polymarket2.08x48¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
46.5%45¢48¢52¢55¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
54.0%30¢78¢22¢70¢
$
$200M
29%
Polymarket36¢
Predict.fun50¢
Polymarket2.78x36¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
27.0%15¢36¢64¢85¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
30.0%30¢50¢50¢70¢
$
$500M
single venue20%
—
Predict.fun34¢
Predict.fun2.98x34¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
Predict.funPredict.fun
20.0%6¢34¢66¢94¢
$
$300M
17%
Polymarket25¢
Predict.fun41¢
Polymarket4.00x25¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
24.0%23¢25¢75¢77¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
9.4%9¢41¢59¢91¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread14.6%
Platforms2
Candidates5
Leader

$50M

62.4% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Surf FDV above one day after launch

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Surf's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Surf (https://x.com/SurfAI) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Created At: 2026-03-12T13:27:25.84484729Z

Frequently Asked Questions

What does FDV stand for in this context?

FDV stands for Fully Diluted Valuation, which estimates the total market cap of a cryptocurrency if all tokens were in circulation. It is a key metric for assessing the potential value of a crypto project.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves on January 1, 2028, one day after the launch of Surf. The resolution is contingent on the FDV performance within that specific timeframe.

What factors influence the odds for this event?

Odds are influenced by early trading activity, market sentiment, and the overall performance of Surf post-launch. News and developments related to the cryptocurrency can also impact the market's expectations.

What does the Surf FDV above one day after launch prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Surf FDV above one day after launch odds?

The latest available prices are $50M: 62.5¢ on Polymarket, 62.3¢ on Predict.fun; $100M: 46.5¢ on Polymarket, 54.0¢ on Predict.fun; $200M: 27.0¢ on Polymarket, 30.0¢ on Predict.fun; $500M: 20.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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