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Live prediction market odds for US Open Men's Singles Winner. Compare prices across .

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US Open Men's Singles Winner

2026-09-13

About This Market

US Open Men's Singles Winner: current odds are unavailable.

US Open Men's Singles Winner: current odds are unavailable.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the US Open Men's Singles Winner for the 2026 tournament. This event draws attention as top players compete for one of tennis's most prestigious titles, influencing their rankings and legacy in the sport.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

0 platforms
Alex de MinaurNo
Alexander BublikNo
Alexander ZverevYes
Andrey RublevNo
Arthur FilsNo

Candidate Spotlight

About Alexander Zverev

Alexander Zverev is a professional tennis player from Germany, currently ranked No. 2 in the ATP singles rankings. He has won multiple ATP Tour titles, including the 2026 French Open, marking his first Grand Slam victory. Zverev's consistent performance and high ranking make him a strong contender in major tournaments.

About Ben Shelton

Ben Shelton is an American professional tennis player currently ranked No. 5 in the ATP singles rankings. He achieved his career-high ranking of No. 5 in July 2024. Shelton's notable achievements include winning the 2025 Canadian Open and reaching the semifinals at the 2023 US Open.

About Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz is a Spanish professional tennis player, currently ranked No. 2 in the ATP singles rankings as of April 2026. He has won seven Grand Slam singles titles, including the US Open in 2022 and 2025, and the Australian Open in 2026. Alcaraz is recognized for his exceptional talent and achievements in men's tennis.

About Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev is a Russian professional tennis player currently ranked 14th in the ATP singles rankings. He won his first major title at the 2021 US Open, defeating Novak Djokovic in the final. Medvedev has secured 21 ATP Tour titles in 21 different cities, showcasing his versatility and global appeal.

About Jakub Mensik

Jakub Mensik is a professional tennis player from the Czech Republic, currently ranked 17th in ATP singles as of June 2026. He achieved a career-high ranking of 12th in March 2026 and has won one ATP singles title. His strong performance on hard courts and rapid rise in the ATP rankings highlight his potential in men's singles tennis.

About Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner is an Italian professional tennis player, currently ranked world No. 1 by the Association of Tennis Professionals (ATP). He has won 28 ATP Tour singles titles, including four Grand Slam titles and nine Masters 1000 events. Sinner's consistent performance and dominance in the sport have established him as a leading figure in men's tennis.

About Joao Fonseca

João Fonseca is a Brazilian professional tennis player currently ranked No. 24 in singles and No. 159 in doubles as of May 4, 2026. He won his first ATP Tour singles title at the 2025 Argentina Open, becoming the youngest Brazilian man to do so. Fonseca is the current No. 1 singles player from Brazil, with a career-high ATP singles ranking of No. 24 achieved on November 3, 2025.

About Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic is a Serbian professional tennis player currently ranked No. 3 in the ATP singles rankings as of March 2026. He has won 24 Grand Slam singles titles, including the 2023 US Open, where he secured his 24th major title. Djokovic holds the record for the most weeks at world No. 1, surpassing Steffi Graf's previous record.

About Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz is a professional tennis player from the United States, currently ranked No. 7 in the ATP singles rankings as of March 2026. He has won 10 ATP Tour singles titles, including the 2022 Indian Wells Masters and the 2023 Delray Beach Open. Fritz is recognized for his powerful serve and aggressive baseline play, establishing himself as a leading figure in American men's tennis.

Resolution Oracles

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Kalshi Rules
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Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms0
Candidates33
Leader

Alex de Minaur

0.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: US Open Men's Singles Winner

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Rafael Jodar wins the 2026 US Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The following market refers to the 2026 US Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament. If the participant forfeits, withdraws from consideration, or takes any official action that removes them from being able to win the 2026 US Open Men's Singles professional tennis tournament, the market will resolve No for that participant.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules
Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the US Open Men's Singles Winner?

Odds are influenced by player performance in previous tournaments, injuries, and head-to-head matchups. Additionally, public sentiment and betting patterns can shift the odds leading up to the event.

When does the US Open Men's Singles tournament take place?

The US Open Men's Singles tournament is scheduled for September 2026, culminating in the final match on September 13. This annual event is one of the four Grand Slam tournaments in professional tennis.

How do prediction markets work for sports events like the US Open?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares in the outcome of events, with prices reflecting the perceived probability of each outcome. As new information becomes available, such as player form or match conditions, the odds can change rapidly.

What does the US Open Men's Singles Winner prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest US Open Men's Singles Winner odds?

No current prices are available on this page.

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Alcaraz US Open Odds Fall to 26% as Wrist Return Overshadows Sinner ExitAlcaraz dropped 8 percentage points to 26% in three days. His first match action since April was a mixed doubles hit with Serena Williams, five days before singles begins.Aug 26, 2026Sinner Withdraws From US Open, Win Probability Falls to 33%A right knee injury forced the world No. 1 out of the 2026 US Open. His implied win probability fell 16 points to 33%, with Alcaraz now the sportsbook favorite at +170.Aug 24, 2026Alcaraz US Open Odds Jump 7 Points to 33% After Sinner ExitCarlos Alcaraz is priced near 33% to win the 2026 US Open after Jannik Sinner's official withdrawal. Alexander Zverev follows near 21%.Aug 21, 2026Sinner's US Open Odds Fall 16 Points After Knee Treatment in TurinShockwave therapy on Sinner's right knee pushed his win probability from 49% to 33% in three days. His camp says he travels only if fully recovered.Aug 20, 2026

Prediction Market Track Record

Men's Australian Open WinnerLOSTPre-event: 1%Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin HalysWONPre-event: 0%Alexander Zverev vs. Francisco CerundoloWONPre-event: 0%Alexander Zverev vs. Francisco CerundoloWONPre-event: 0%Alexander Zverev vs. Francisco CerundoloWONPre-event: 73%

Prediction Market Track Record

Men's Australian Open WinnerLOSTPre-event: 1%Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Ben SheltonLOSTPre-event: 0%Ben Shelton vs. Emilio NavaWONPre-event: 0%Ben Shelton vs. Alexander BlockxWONPre-event: 0%Ben Shelton vs. Joao FonsecaWONPre-event: 0%

Prediction Market Track Record

Men's Australian Open WinnerWONPre-event: 73%Sebastian Baez vs. Carlos AlcarazWONPre-event: 0%Alexander Bublik vs. Carlos AlcarazWONPre-event: 0%Valentin Vacherot vs. Carlos AlcarazWONPre-event: 0%Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos AlcarazLOSTPre-event: 0%

Historical Track Record

Scroll to view past markets

Men's Australian Open Winner

Resolved

2026-02-01

LOSTDaniil Medvedev
Pre-event: 1%

Alexander Zverev vs. Quentin Halys

Resolved

2026-03-25

WONAlexander Zverev
Pre-event: 0%

Alexander Zverev vs. Francisco Cerundolo

Resolved

2026-03-25

WONAlexander Zverev
Pre-event: 0%

Alexander Zverev vs. Francisco Cerundolo

Resolved

2026-03-26

WONAlexander Zverev
Pre-event: 0%

Alexander Zverev vs. Francisco Cerundolo

Resolved

2026-03-27

WONAlexander Zverev
Pre-event: 73%

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs. Ben Shelton

Resolved

2026-04-03

LOSTBen Shelton
Pre-event: 0%

Ben Shelton vs. Emilio Nava

Resolved

2026-04-13

WONBen Shelton
Pre-event: 0%

Ben Shelton vs. Alexander Blockx

Resolved

2026-04-15

WONBen Shelton
Pre-event: 0%

Ben Shelton vs. Joao Fonseca

Resolved

2026-04-17

WONBen Shelton
Pre-event: 0%

Sebastian Baez vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Resolved

2026-04-07

WONCarlos Alcaraz
Pre-event: 0%

Alexander Bublik vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Resolved

2026-04-10

WONCarlos Alcaraz
Pre-event: 0%

Valentin Vacherot vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Resolved

2026-04-11

WONCarlos Alcaraz
Pre-event: 0%

Jannik Sinner vs. Carlos Alcaraz

Resolved

2026-04-12

LOSTCarlos Alcaraz
Pre-event: 0%

Matteo Berrettini vs. Daniil Medvedev

Resolved

2026-04-08

LOSTDaniil Medvedev
Pre-event: 0%

Fabian Marozsan vs. Daniil Medvedev

Resolved

2026-04-25

WONDaniil Medvedev
Pre-event: 62%

Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Daniil Medvedev

Resolved

2026-04-27

WONDaniil Medvedev
Pre-event: 0%

Flavio Cobolli vs. Daniil Medvedev

Resolved

2026-04-28

LOSTDaniil Medvedev
Pre-event: 0%

Prediction Market Track Record

Men's Australian Open WinnerLOSTPre-event: 1%Matteo Berrettini vs. Daniil MedvedevLOSTPre-event: 0%Fabian Marozsan vs. Daniil MedvedevWONPre-event: 62%Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs. Daniil MedvedevWONPre-event: 0%Flavio Cobolli vs. Daniil MedvedevLOSTPre-event: 0%