About This Market
Traders give 1.6% To 2.0% about a 90.0% chance. 2.1% To 2.5% follows at 84.0%, 1.1% To 1.5% follows at 83.0%, and 0.1% To 0.5% follows at 79.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
US real GDP growth in 2033?
Live prediction market odds for US real GDP growth in 2033?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Best price · tap to trade
Compare all 12 outcomes across 1 venueTraders give 1.6% To 2.0% about a 90.0% chance. 2.1% To 2.5% follows at 84.0%, 1.1% To 1.5% follows at 83.0%, and 0.1% To 0.5% follows at 79.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the United States real GDP growth in 2033 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2033. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2033 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2033 GDP in early 2034. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
Predictions are influenced by current economic indicators, fiscal policies, and global economic conditions. Analysts also consider historical growth trends and consumer behavior.
Changes in GDP growth forecasts can impact government policy decisions and investor sentiment. A higher growth forecast may lead to increased spending and investment, while a lower forecast could prompt caution.
Tracking GDP growth helps investors gauge the overall health of the economy, which can affect stock market performance and investment opportunities. Accurate forecasts can guide investment strategies and risk assessments.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are 1.6% To 2.0%: 90.0¢ on Kalshi; 2.1% To 2.5%: 84.0¢ on Kalshi; 1.1% To 1.5%: 83.0¢ on Kalshi; 0.1% To 0.5%: 79.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.