About This Market
Traders give 1.6% To 2.0% about a 83.0% chance. 2.1% To 2.5% follows at 78.0%, 0.0% or Below follows at 4.0%, and 2.6% To 3.0% follows at 2.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
US real GDP growth in 2036?
Live prediction market odds for US real GDP growth in 2036?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Best price · tap to trade
Compare all 12 outcomes across 1 venueTraders give 1.6% To 2.0% about a 83.0% chance. 2.1% To 2.5% follows at 78.0%, 0.0% or Below follows at 4.0%, and 2.6% To 3.0% follows at 2.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
KalshiKalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the United States real GDP growth in 2036 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2036. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2036 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2036 GDP in early 2037. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.
Predictions are influenced by current economic trends, fiscal policies, and global market conditions. Additionally, technological advancements and demographic changes play a significant role in shaping future growth.
GDP growth indicates the health of an economy, influencing employment rates, consumer spending, and investment. Higher growth rates typically lead to increased business confidence and expansion.
The year 2036 is significant as it falls within a long-term economic planning horizon for governments and businesses. Accurate predictions can guide policy decisions and investment strategies in the preceding years.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are 1.6% To 2.0%: 83.0¢ on Kalshi; 2.1% To 2.5%: 78.0¢ on Kalshi; 0.0% or Below: 4.0¢ on Kalshi; 2.6% To 3.0%: 2.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.