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Live prediction market odds for US real GDP growth in 2036?. Compare prices across Kalshi.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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US real GDP growth in 2036?

2037-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

1.6% to 2.0%27¢3.70xKalshi2.1% to 2.5%20¢5.00xKalshi0.0% or Below10¢10.00xKalshi
Compare all 14 outcomes across 1 venue

About This Market

Traders give 1.6% to 2.0% about a 17.0% chance. 2.1% to 2.5% follows at 16.0%, 0.0% or Below follows at 7.5%, and 2.6% to 3.0% follows at 6.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Traders give 1.6% to 2.0% about a 17.0% chance. 2.1% to 2.5% follows at 16.0%, 0.0% or Below follows at 7.5%, and 2.6% to 3.0% follows at 6.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi.

Prediction markets on Kalshi are tracking US real GDP growth projections for 2036. Understanding these forecasts is crucial for investors and policymakers as they influence economic planning and investment strategies in the years leading up to that date.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

1 platform
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
Best price
1T
1.6% to 2.0%
single venue17%
Kalshi27¢
Kalshi3.70x27¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
17.0%17¢27¢73¢83¢
2T
2.1% to 2.5%
single venue16%
Kalshi20¢
Kalshi5.00x20¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
16.0%16¢20¢80¢84¢
0O
0.0% or Below
single venue8%
Kalshi10¢
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
7.5%5¢10¢90¢95¢
2T
2.6% to 3.0%
single venue7%
Kalshi8¢
Kalshi12.50x8¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
6.5%5¢8¢92¢95¢
0T
0.6% to 1.0%
single venue4%
Kalshi4¢
Kalshi25.00x4¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
4.0%1¢4¢96¢99¢
KalshiKalshi

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread0.0%
Platforms1
Candidates14
Leader

1.6% to 2.0%

17.0% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: US real GDP growth in 2036?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If the United States real GDP growth in 2036 is below 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

This market is based on the Bureau of Economic Analysis’s advance estimate of real gross domestic product (GDP) growth in the United States for calendar year 2036. The Expiration Value will be the first-published annual percent change in real GDP for 2036 from BEA’s GDP release, expected with the advance estimate of Q4 2036 GDP in early 2037. Revisions published after expiration will not be considered.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence GDP growth predictions for 2036?

Predictions are influenced by current economic trends, fiscal policies, and global market conditions. Additionally, technological advancements and demographic changes play a significant role in shaping future growth.

How does GDP growth affect the economy?

GDP growth indicates the health of an economy, influencing employment rates, consumer spending, and investment. Higher growth rates typically lead to increased business confidence and expansion.

Why is 2036 a focus for GDP growth predictions?

The year 2036 is significant as it falls within a long-term economic planning horizon for governments and businesses. Accurate predictions can guide policy decisions and investment strategies in the preceding years.

What does the US real GDP growth in 2036 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest US real GDP growth in 2036 odds?

The latest available prices are 1.6% to 2.0%: 17.0¢ on Kalshi; 2.1% to 2.5%: 16.0¢ on Kalshi; 0.0% or Below: 7.5¢ on Kalshi; 2.6% to 3.0%: 6.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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