Oscar nominations for Best Picture?
Live prediction market odds for Oscar nominations for Best Picture?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give The Odyssey about a 98.2% chance. The Black Ball follows at 94.0%, Wild Horse Nine follows at 93.5%, and You Can See Everything follows at 84.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 3.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf The Odyssey has been nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027.
PolymarketThe nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, 2027. This date is crucial for filmmakers and studios as it sets the stage for the awards ceremony.
Odds are influenced by critical reviews, box office performance, and industry buzz leading up to the nominations. Additionally, film festivals and award shows can significantly impact perceptions and expectations.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes, such as Oscar nominations. Prices reflect collective sentiment and can change rapidly as new information becomes available.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are The Odyssey: 98.0¢ on Kalshi, 98.3¢ on Polymarket; The Black Ball: 94.0¢ on Kalshi; Wild Horse Nine: 93.0¢ on Kalshi, 94.0¢ on Polymarket; You Can See Everything: 84.5¢ on Kalshi, 85.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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Trader up $59.2K lifetime bought $2.6K of No at 77¢
2d agoWill "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Trade on Kalshi 
