Live prediction market odds for What will Mamdani say during his announcement?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-08-31
This market resolved on 2026-08-31. Family was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Mamdani will say during his upcoming announcement.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Mamdani will say during his upcoming announcement. The content of this announcement could influence public opinion and policy discussions, particularly in areas like the economy and community safety.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
FamilyWINNER | — | 100% |
School | — | 100% |
Community | — | 100% |
Grocery | 99% | 100% |
Afford / Affordable / Affordability | 99% | 100% |
Safe / Safer / Safety | 99% | 100% |
Five Borough | 99% | — |
Trump / President | 5% | 0% |
AI / Artificial Intelligence | 1% | 1% |
Childcare | 1% | — |
Economy / Economic | 1% | 1% |
Free Bus / Fast & Free | 1% | — |
Governor / Hochul | 1% | — |
Heat / Weather | 1% | 1% |
Billionaire | 1% | 0% |
NYPD | 1% | 0% |
-No Qualifying Event- | — | 0% |
Budget | — | 0% |
Health | — | 0% |
BQE / Brooklyn-Queens Expressway | 1% | — |
Landlord / Tenant | 99% | — |
Sue / Sued / Suing / Lawsuit | 1% | — |
Family
100.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Zohran Mamdani says Afford / Affordable / Affordability as part of next NYC Mayor's Office announcement , then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. For the purposes of this market, “next NYC Mayor's Office announcement” refers to the first livestream on the NYC Mayor's Office main YouTube channel (@NYCMayorsOffice) after August 13, 2026 09:45 PM. The livestream will resolve based on Zohran Mamdani speaking in an official capacity. If Zohran Mamdani is present during a livestream, but does not speak in an official capacity the market will not qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Additional source agency streams can be used in the event of technical outages or if the NYC Mayor's Office ends the stream prior to the conclusion of the event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details.
Mamdani's announcement could address key issues affecting the community, including economic policies and safety measures. The outcomes may shape public discourse and influence future policy decisions.
Prediction markets analyze various factors such as public sentiment, expert opinions, and historical data to set odds. These factors can fluctuate as new information becomes available leading up to the announcement.
Polymarket and Kalshi are the primary platforms monitoring this event. They provide real-time odds based on market participants' predictions regarding the content of Mamdani's announcement.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Family: 100.0¢ on Polymarket; School: 100.0¢ on Polymarket; Community: 99.5¢ on Polymarket; Grocery: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 100.0¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
