Traders give December 31, 2027 about a 90.0% chance. March 31, 2027 follows at 84.5%, June 30, 2027 follows at 77.5%, and December 31, 2026 follows at 24.5%. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 25.0 percentage points.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Will Soneium launch a token by ___?
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Polymarket
Primary Rule
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Soneium officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Soneium after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Soneium (https://x.com/soneium), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Soneium officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only an official token launched by Soneium after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.
The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Soneium (https://x.com/soneium), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the deadline for Soneium's token launch?
The deadline for the token launch is set for January 1, 2027. This date is when trading will close, but the actual launch may occur earlier.
How does the market resolve?
The market resolves based on an official announcement regarding the token launch. If Soneium successfully launches the token by the deadline, the market will settle accordingly.
What factors influence the odds in this market?
Odds in this market are influenced by news related to Soneium's development progress and any announcements regarding the token. Market sentiment may also shift based on community reactions and speculation.
Will Soneium launch a token by ___: what does this prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
Will Soneium launch a token by ___: what are the current odds?
The latest available prices are December 31, 2027: 90.0¢ on Polymarket; March 31, 2027: 72.0¢ on Polymarket, 97.0¢ on Predict.fun; June 30, 2027: 70.0¢ on Polymarket, 85.0¢ on Predict.fun; December 31, 2026: 24.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.