What will NASA say during their press conference: why do odds differ between prediction markets?

Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.

What will NASA say during their press conference: how do prices and payouts work?

For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.

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What will NASA say during their press conference?

2026-08-14

Live Markets

1 platform

OutcomeConsensus

Kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	1.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Air Force

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	99.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Apollo

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	99.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Artemis

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	99.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

China / Chinese

single venue

100¢

Platform	Implied %	Yes bid / ask		No bid / ask
Kalshi	1.0%	0¢	100¢	0¢	100¢

Kalshi

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

Rules for Candidate:

Kalshi

Primary Rule

If any NASA representative says AI / Artificial Intelligence as part of NASA news conference originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Video of the NASA news conference originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the NASA news conference originally scheduled for August 14, 2026 will be used. Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included. For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event. The event must be opened to the press for a live televised or streamed event to qualify. Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address will not count. Please see full rules for more details. Event does not qualify: If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No. The event will resolve based on any NASA representative speaking in an official capacity. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify — any NASA representative must be speaking in an official capacity for the Contract to resolve Yes (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, or unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic, do not qualify). Postponement: If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.

Resolution Oracles

Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of NASA's press conference?

NASA's press conferences often reveal critical updates on missions, technology, and future plans. These announcements can shape public interest and investment in space exploration.

How do prediction markets work for this event?

Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the outcomes of specific announcements. Odds fluctuate based on the perceived likelihood of various statements being made by NASA.

What factors could influence the outcomes of this event?

Factors include recent developments in space technology, current missions, and public interest in space exploration. Media coverage and expert opinions can also sway market predictions.

What will NASA say during their press conference: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What will NASA say during their press conference: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are AI / Artificial Intelligence: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Air Force: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Apollo: 99.0¢ on Kalshi; Artemis: 99.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

What will NASA say during their press conference?

What will NASA say during their press conference?

About This Market

Price History

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What will NASA say during their press conference?

What will NASA say during their press conference?

About This Market

Price History

Live Markets

Smart Trade Router

Resolution Oracles

Market Rulebook: What will NASA say during their press conference?

Frequently Asked Questions

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Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs. Utah Tech Trailblazers

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