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Live prediction market odds for What will Ulta say during their next earnings call?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket

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Fragrance Wins: What will Ulta say during their next earnings call?

Resolved 2026-08-27

This market resolved on 2026-08-27. Fragrance was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.

About This Market

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Ulta will say during their next earnings call.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Ulta will say during their next earnings call. Insights from this call can influence investor sentiment and impact stock performance, making it a key event for stakeholders in the beauty retail sector.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Final Closing Odds

2 platforms
Candidate
Kalshi
Polymarket
FragranceWINNER
—100%
Growth 30+ times
—100%
Healthy
—100%
Traffic
99%100%
Luxury
99%100%
Reward
99%99%
AI / Artificial Intelligence
99%99%
Google / Gemini
99%—
Headwind
99%—
Holiday
99%99%
Iran / Middle East
99%—
Rare Beauty
99%—
Store Opening
99%—
TikTok
99%—
Uncertainty
99%99%
Diamond
1%6%
Fiscal 10+ times
—6%
Medicine
—6%
Product 20+ times
—6%
Cosmetic
—1%
Tailwind
1%—
Times Square
1%—
-No Qualifying Event-
—0%

Candidate Spotlight

About Holiday

Kecia Steelman is the President and Chief Executive Officer of Ulta Beauty. She joined Ulta in 2014 and has held various leadership roles, including Chief Operating Officer and President and COO. Steelman has over 30 years of experience in retail operations and organizational leadership.

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread4.9%
Platforms2
Candidates23
Winner

Fragrance

99.9% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: What will Ulta say during their next earnings call?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If AI / Artificial Intelligence is said by any Ulta Beauty, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Ulta Beauty, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Video of the Ulta Beauty, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Ulta Beauty, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the significance of Ulta's earnings call?

Earnings calls provide insights into a company's financial performance and future outlook. They are crucial for investors to gauge the health of the business and make informed decisions.

How do prediction markets work for earnings calls?

Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the outcomes of specific statements or themes during earnings calls. This can reflect collective sentiment and expectations about the company's performance.

What factors can influence Ulta's earnings call outcomes?

Factors include recent sales trends, market competition, and broader economic conditions. Additionally, product launches and marketing strategies may also play a role in the discussion.

What will Ulta say during their next earnings call: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.

What will Ulta say during their next earnings call: what were the odds?

The last available prices are Fragrance: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Growth 30+ times: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Healthy: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Traffic: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

Ulta Earnings Call: "Traffic" Hits 76% Ahead of Aug 27 ReportTraffic probability jumped 10pp in three days, reaching 76%. Q1 comp transactions rose 1.6%, and the call is less than 48 hours away.Aug 25, 2026
No price history available

Prediction Market Track Record

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Historical Track Record

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