Live prediction market odds for What will Ulta say during their next earnings call?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-08-27
This market resolved on 2026-08-27. Fragrance was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Ulta will say during their next earnings call.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking what Ulta will say during their next earnings call. Insights from this call can influence investor sentiment and impact stock performance, making it a key event for stakeholders in the beauty retail sector.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
FragranceWINNER | — | 100% |
Growth 30+ times | — | 100% |
Healthy | — | 100% |
Traffic | 99% | 100% |
Luxury | 99% | 100% |
Reward | 99% | 99% |
AI / Artificial Intelligence | 99% | 99% |
Google / Gemini | 99% | — |
Headwind | 99% | — |
Holiday | 99% | 99% |
Iran / Middle East | 99% | — |
Rare Beauty | 99% | — |
Store Opening | 99% | — |
TikTok | 99% | — |
Uncertainty | 99% | 99% |
Diamond | 1% | 6% |
Fiscal 10+ times | — | 6% |
Medicine | — | 6% |
Product 20+ times | — | 6% |
Cosmetic | — | 1% |
Tailwind | 1% | — |
Times Square | 1% | — |
-No Qualifying Event- | — | 0% |
Fragrance
99.9% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf AI / Artificial Intelligence is said by any Ulta Beauty, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Ulta Beauty, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Video of the Ulta Beauty, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, transcripts of the Ulta Beauty, Inc. earnings call will be used according to the news publications listed in the contract. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Earnings calls provide insights into a company's financial performance and future outlook. They are crucial for investors to gauge the health of the business and make informed decisions.
Prediction markets allow participants to bet on the outcomes of specific statements or themes during earnings calls. This can reflect collective sentiment and expectations about the company's performance.
Factors include recent sales trends, market competition, and broader economic conditions. Additionally, product launches and marketing strategies may also play a role in the discussion.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Fragrance: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Growth 30+ times: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Healthy: 99.9¢ on Polymarket; Traffic: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
