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Live prediction market odds for Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?5¢20.00xPolymarket

About This Market

Traders give Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? about a 5.3% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.3 percentage points.

Traders give Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? about a 5.3% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.3 percentage points.

Polymarket and Predictfun are tracking whether the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) will be signed into law by January 1, 2027. The market resolves based on the official signing of the bill by the President, which will clarify regulations surrounding cryptocurrencies in the U.S.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
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Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
CA
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
5%
Polymarket5¢
Predict.fun6¢
Polymarket18.52x5¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
5.2%5¢5¢95¢95¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
5.5%5¢6¢94¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

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Spread0.3%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?

5.3% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 (H.R.3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the Clarity Act (H.R.3633)?

The Clarity Act (H.R.3633) aims to establish clear regulations for cryptocurrencies in the United States. It seeks to provide a legal framework that distinguishes between different types of digital assets.

When will the market resolve?

The market will resolve on January 1, 2027, based on whether the Clarity Act is signed into law by that date. If the bill is signed, the market will settle in favor of that outcome.

What factors influence the odds for this event?

Odds may fluctuate based on legislative developments, public support, and statements from key political figures regarding the bill. Additionally, any changes in the political landscape leading up to the signing date can impact market sentiment.

What does the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026 odds?

The latest available prices are Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?: 5.2¢ on Polymarket, 5.5¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

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Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Yes-$4 · 1 whale
No-$33.6K · 1 whale

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