When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Live prediction market odds for When will OpenAI release GPT-6?. Compare prices across .
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Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking predictions regarding the release date of GPT-6 by OpenAI.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking predictions regarding the release date of GPT-6 by OpenAI. The outcome of this event could influence advancements in AI technology and impact various industries reliant on AI capabilities.
Odds for questions with unconfirmed results.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Before 2027 | Yes |
Before Nov 1, 2026 | Yes |
Before Oct 1, 2026 | Yes |
December 31, 2026 | Yes |
September 30, 2026 | Yes |
August 14, 2026 | No result |
August 21, 2026 | No result |
August 7, 2026 | No result |
December 31, 2025 | No result |
July 31, 2026 | No result |
June 30, 2026 | No result |
March 31, 2026 | No result |
November 30, 2026 | No result |
October 31, 2026 | No result |
September 15, 2026 | No result |
August 31, 2026 | No |
Before Sep 1, 2026 | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Predict.fun.
KalshiIf OpenAI releases A model called GPT-6 or greater before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-6 is anticipated to be the next iteration of OpenAI's language model, building on the capabilities of its predecessors. It is expected to offer improved performance in natural language understanding and generation.
The release date of GPT-6 is significant as it could set new standards in AI technology and influence competition in the tech industry. Businesses and developers are eager to leverage its advancements for various applications.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of future events, such as product releases. Prices reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of specific outcomes occurring.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
No historical prices are available on this page. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
