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Live prediction market odds for Which states will Trump visit before 2027?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Which states will Trump visit before 2027?

2026-12-31

Best price · tap to trade

Oklahoma100¢1.00xPolymarketAlabama100¢1.00xPolymarketAlaska93¢1.08xKalshi
Compare all 26 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give Oklahoma about a 97.6% chance. Alabama follows at 96.7%, Alaska follows at 91.5%, and Washington follows at 65.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 33.0 percentage points.

Traders give Oklahoma about a 97.6% chance. Alabama follows at 96.7%, Alaska follows at 91.5%, and Washington follows at 65.5%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 33.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the states Trump will visit before 2027. These visits could influence his political capital and campaign strategy as he prepares for future elections.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
O
Oklahoma
single venue98%
—
Polymarket100¢
Polymarket1.00x100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
97.6%96¢100¢0¢4¢
A
Alabama
single venue97%
—
Polymarket100¢
Polymarket1.00x100¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
96.7%93¢100¢0¢7¢
A
Alaska
single venue92%
Kalshi93¢
—
Kalshi1.08x93¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
91.5%90¢93¢7¢10¢
W
Washington
single venue66%
—
Polymarket75¢
Polymarket1.33x75¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
65.5%56¢75¢25¢44¢
I
Indiana
single venue59%
—
Polymarket89¢
Polymarket1.12x89¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
58.5%28¢89¢11¢72¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

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¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
CNBCCNNFox NewsMSNBCPoliticoReutersSemaforthe Associated PressThe GuardianThe InformationThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread33.0%
Platforms2
Candidates26
Leader

Oklahoma

97.6% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Which states will Trump visit before 2027?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Hawaii before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

Physical presence within the geographic boundaries is required - flying over without landing, airport layovers where the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual appearances, presence in international waters, or presence solely within embassy/consulate grounds do NOT count as visits. For cities, official municipal boundaries apply. For states/provinces, official boundaries apply. For countries, internationally recognized borders apply. International airports are considered within their host jurisdiction. Evidence must be reported by at least one Source Agency and may include official announcements, news reports with specific location details, verified photographs/videos at identifiable locations, flight records showing arrival, completed official schedules, or social media posts from official accounts. Visits that began before market issuance do not count. For multiple locations with OR logic, visiting any single location satisfies the criterion. For AND logic, all locations must be visited.

Resolution Oracles
CNBCCNNFox NewsMSNBCPoliticoReutersSemaforthe Associated PressThe GuardianThe InformationThe New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington Post

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence Trump's state visit decisions?

Trump's state visits are often influenced by political strategy, campaign events, and local support. Economic conditions and key issues in specific states may also play a role.

How do prediction markets determine odds for state visits?

Odds in prediction markets are determined by the collective insights and bets of participants. Factors such as polling data, historical trends, and current events can shift these odds.

What is the significance of Trump's visits to certain states?

Trump's visits to specific states can signal his focus on key demographics and electoral strategies. These visits may also impact local political dynamics and voter engagement.

What does the Which states will Trump visit before 2027 prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Which states will Trump visit before 2027 odds?

The latest available prices are Oklahoma: 97.6¢ on Polymarket; Alabama: 96.7¢ on Polymarket; Alaska: 91.5¢ on Kalshi; Washington: 65.5¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Trump Colorado Visit Falls to 30% as Ohio and D.C. Lock Up AugustColorado sits unscheduled while Ohio (Aug 9-11) and D.C. (Aug 22-23) consume remaining travel days. Kalshi prices it at 27%, Polymarket at 32%.Aug 8, 2026Will Trump Visit Minnesota Before 2027? Markets Say 58%Kalshi prices the visit at 54%, Polymarket at 62%. Two Homan deployments and a Lindell endorsement haven't closed the gap.Jul 25, 2026Montana Trump Visit Odds Sink to 36% as Tour Snub Meets Kalshi ScandalA 30-city MAGA rally itinerary names nine states but not Montana. Odds fell 12 points in three days as the Kalshi insider-trading probe adds selling pressure.Jul 23, 2026Colorado Drops to 28% in Trump Visit Market After Convention SnubKalshi prices Colorado at 24% vs. Polymarket's 32%, as Trump's South Carolina endorsement diverts bandwidth from speculative rally stops.Jul 19, 2026