Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Best price · tap to trade
Compare all 13 outcomes across 2 venuesTraders give Joshua Van about a 96.2% chance. Brandon Moreno follows at 1.2%, Manel Kape follows at 1.6%, and Amir Albazi follows at 0.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.6 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Joshua Van holds the UFC Flyweight Title on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketThis market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Fighter performance in matches, injury status, and upcoming title fights are key factors that shape the odds. Additionally, public sentiment and betting trends can also impact market prices.
Odds can fluctuate frequently based on recent fight outcomes, news about fighters, and changes in public interest. Major events, such as title defenses or significant match announcements, typically trigger more substantial shifts.
The UFC Flyweight championship represents the pinnacle of achievement in the 125-pound weight class, showcasing elite talent. Holding the title can significantly impact a fighter's career, including sponsorship opportunities and legacy.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Joshua Van: 96.5¢ on Kalshi, 96.0¢ on Polymarket; Brandon Moreno: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.4¢ on Polymarket; Manel Kape: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.2¢ on Polymarket; Amir Albazi: 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Prediction Market Track Record
Prediction Market Track Record
