Will Abstract launch a token by ___?
Live prediction market odds for Will Abstract launch a token by ___?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Opinion and Predict.fun.
Listed Updated
Traders give December 31, 2027 about a 4.4% chance. June 30, 2027 follows at 4.2%, September 30, 2027 follows at 4.0%, and March 31, 2027 follows at 3.6%. Compare prices from Polymarket, Opinion, and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.6 percentage points.
Polymarket
Opinion
Predict.funPolymarketOpinionPredict.funOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Opinion and Polymarket and Predict.fun.
OpinionThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Abstract will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract (https://x.com/abstractchain), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Abstract officially launches a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Abstract, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:13:39.65930487Z
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Opinion, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are December 31, 2027: 4.4¢ on Polymarket; June 30, 2027: 4.2¢ on Polymarket; September 30, 2027: 4.0¢ on Polymarket; March 31, 2027: 3.6¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
The largest price difference shown across venues is 0.6 percentage points. Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A price gap alone does not establish an executable arbitrage opportunity; compare settlement rules and the actual buy and sell prices.
For example, December 31, 2027 at 4.4¢ implies about a 4.4% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.
