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Traders give Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? about a 5.8% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?. Compare prices across Polymarket and PredictIt.
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Traders give Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? about a 5.8% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and PredictIt. The largest cross-platform price difference is 2.5 percentage points.
Countries may consider leaving OPEC due to disagreements over production quotas, economic pressures, or shifts in energy policy. Changes in leadership or national interests can also play a role in such decisions.
The market resolves when a member country officially announces its exit from OPEC. Any formal declaration made before the end of 2026 will trigger the resolution.
Yes, countries like Indonesia and Qatar have previously left OPEC, citing various reasons such as economic strategy and production goals. These precedents can influence current market perceptions and odds.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, PredictIt in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?: 4.5¢ on Polymarket, 7.0¢ on PredictIt. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.