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Live prediction market odds for Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.

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Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

2027-01-01

Best price · tap to trade

December 313¢33.33xPredict.fun

About This Market

Traders give December 31 about a 3.8% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Traders give December 31 about a 3.8% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.9 percentage points.

Polymarket and Predictfun are tracking whether Reza Pahlavi will enter Iran by December 31. The market resolves based on his physical presence in Iran on or before the specified date, with odds fluctuating based on geopolitical developments and public statements regarding his plans.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
PolymarketPolymarket
Predict.funPredict.fun
Best price
D3
December 31
4%
Polymarket4¢
Predict.fun3¢
Predict.fun29.41x3¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
PolymarketPolymarket
4.3%4¢4¢96¢96¢
Predict.funPredict.fun
3.4%3¢3¢97¢97¢
PolymarketPolymarketPredict.funPredict.fun

Candidate Spotlight

About December 31

Reza Pahlavi is the current Crown Prince of Iran and head of the House of Pahlavi. He has been active in political opposition to the Islamic Republic from abroad since 1980. He is relevant to this prediction market due to his longstanding role as a prominent opposition figure and his recent calls for regime change in Iran.

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Resolution Oracles

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Stats
Spread0.9%
Platforms2
Candidates1
Leader

December 31

3.8% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.

Predict.funPredict.fun
Primary Rule

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Created At: 2026-03-02T13:41:12.07553595Z

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the deadline for Reza Pahlavi's potential entry into Iran?

The deadline for Reza Pahlavi to enter Iran is December 31. The market resolves if he is physically present in the country on that date.

What factors influence the odds for this event?

Odds are influenced by geopolitical developments and public statements regarding Reza Pahlavi's intentions. Changes in the political climate in Iran may also affect market perceptions.

What platforms are tracking this event?

Polymarket and Predictfun are the platforms tracking this event. They provide real-time odds based on market sentiment and developments related to Reza Pahlavi.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31: what does this prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31: what are the current odds?

The latest available prices are December 31: 4.3¢ on Polymarket, 3.4¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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