Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Live prediction market odds for Will the S&P finish positive this year?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Traders give Positive Growth about a 93.5% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the S&P 500 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 6845.50, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will close on December 31, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after December 31, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Economic indicators such as GDP growth, unemployment rates, and inflation can significantly impact the S&P. Additionally, corporate earnings reports and global events may sway investor sentiment.
Market sentiment can drive stock prices up or down, influencing the overall performance of the S&P. Positive news can lead to increased buying, while negative news may trigger selling.
A positive finish for the S&P suggests overall growth in the stock market and investor confidence. It may also reflect a healthy economy and favorable business conditions.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Positive Growth: 93.5¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.