About This Market
Traders give Another US debt downgrade before 2027? about a 11.5% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.
Traders give Another US debt downgrade before 2027? about a 11.5% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking whether the U.S. credit rating will be downgraded by December 31, 2026. The market resolves based on the official rating assigned by major credit rating agencies on or before the specified date, with odds fluctuating based on economic indicators and fiscal policy developments leading up to that time.

