Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Live prediction market odds for Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
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Traders give Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? about a 1.2% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 0.3 percentage points.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Predict.fun.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system. An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
The market resolves on January 1, 2027, based on the status of any acquisition agreement by that date.
Polymarket and Predictfun are the platforms currently tracking this event.
A formal agreement or treaty regarding the acquisition of Greenland would trigger the resolution of this market.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?: 1.4¢ on Polymarket, 1.1¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
