About This Market
Karolina Muchova vs.
Karolina Muchova vs. Aryna Sabalenka: WTA Tennis match held on 2026-11-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
Karolina Muchova vs. Aryna Sabalenka
Karolina Muchova vs. Aryna Sabalenka
Live prediction market odds for Karolina Muchova vs. Aryna Sabalenka. Compare prices across .
WTA Listed Resolved
This market resolved on Nov 10, 2026. Aryna Sabalenka was the officially declared outcome.
Karolina Muchova vs.
Karolina Muchova vs. Aryna Sabalenka: WTA Tennis match held on 2026-11-09. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction.com.
| Question | Result |
|---|---|
Aryna SabalenkaWINNER | Yes |
Karolina Muchova | No |
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Novig and Polymarket and Polymarket US.
KalshiIf Karolina Muchova wins the Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Finals (Women) Group Stage after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Finals (Women) Group Stage after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
NovigKarolina Muchova in Karolina Muchova @ Aryna Sabalenka N/A (WTA); settled by Novig.
PolymarketThis market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Karolina Muchova. This market will resolve to 'Karolina Muchova' if Karolina Muchova advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Polymarket USThis market will settle to the winner of the Aryna Sabalenka vs Karolina Muchova WTA match scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 3:00PM ET (as of the listing of the event's first instrument). If the match does not begin due to a walkover, withdrawal, or cancellation, the market will settle to the last fair market price. If a player retires or is disqualified during the match, the market will settle to the official winner of the match. If the match is delayed, postponed, suspended or otherwise rescheduled to a date and time not within two days of the originally scheduled date and time, the market will settle to the last fair market price. Outcome sourced from WTA.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Venue prices are not currently available on this page. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
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For example, a 40¢ price implies about a 40% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading. Historical prices alone do not identify the winning outcome.