Netflix Top 10: The Last House at 93% for Global No. 2

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The Last House Is Priced at 93% for Netflix Global No. 2

The Last House is priced near 93% to finish No. 2 on the Global Netflix Movies chart published Aug. 25. That is a forecast of one exact position on the next weekly chart, not a statement that the movie is currently No. 2.

The market is available across Kalshi and Polymarket. A 93% estimate means traders assign a high implied probability to The Last House occupying the No. 2 slot when the specified Netflix chart is published.

The contract does not settle Yes merely because the film remains in the Top 10. A No. 1, No. 3, or lower finish would produce a different result.

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Live Netflix Top 10 Movie Odds

Prediction-market view

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Final prices, venue by venue

This market settled on August 25, 2026, so nothing below is tradeable. These are the last prices each venue published before settlement, not live quotes.

The Last HouseSettled Yes

Final YES price across 2 venues

99%final

Kalshi98¢Polymarket99.1¢

72 HOURS

Final YES price across 1 venues

1%final

Kalshi1¢

Charlie and the Chocolate Factory

Final YES price across 1 venues

0%final

Kalshi0¢

What a Girl Wants

Final YES price across 1 venues

0%final

Kalshi0¢

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At publication, the two live bid-ask midpoints were both near the low 90s, producing a 93% cross-venue average. Using both venues reduces the risk of treating one isolated last trade as the complete market.

The price is not produced, endorsed, or verified by Netflix. Netflix supplies the eventual weekly ranking data, while the market represents traders' forecast of what that data will show.

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What Netflix's Latest Official Top 10 Shows

Netflix's latest published Global Top 10 Movies chart, covering Aug. 10 through Aug. 16, lists The Last House at No. 1 with 33.5 million views and 62.5 million hours viewed.

Don't Say Good Luck ranks second with 8.1 million views, followed by Extinction with 7.4 million. Those are backward-looking, officially reported results for the completed week. They do not reveal where the films will rank on the chart published Aug. 25.

The distinction matters because the market forecasts the next weekly release. Netflix's current fact is that The Last House ranked No. 1. The market's current prediction is that it will move to No. 2 on the next chart.

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Why a No. 1 Movie Can Be Favored for No. 2

Weekly streaming charts measure a moving period. A film can remain heavily watched while losing the No. 1 position if another title attracts more views during the next measurement window. It can also fall as the initial release surge fades.

The Last House has a large lead in the latest completed data, with 33.5 million views compared with 8.1 million for the current No. 2 movie. That gap is factual, but it belongs to the Aug. 10 through Aug. 16 chart.

The 93% market price suggests traders expect the ordering to change by the next publication. It does not identify which movie will take No. 1, how many views The Last House will receive, or whether its total viewing will rise or fall.

A forecast about relative rank can therefore coexist with strong absolute performance. The movie does not need to become unpopular to move from first to second. It only needs one eligible movie to finish ahead of it.

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What The Last House Is About

Netflix's August release guide says The Last House began streaming Aug. 7. The sci-fi thriller follows a family sealed inside its home as resources decline and an unknown threat prevents them from leaving.

The official Netflix Tudum feature identifies Greta Lee and Wagner Moura as Ann and Jason, the parents at the center of the story. Riley Chung, Emma Ho, Noah Alexander Sosnowski, and Gabriel Barbosa also appear in the cast.

Louis Leterrier directed the film, with a script by Matthew Robinson. Netflix lists the runtime at 1 hour and 52 minutes. Those release and production details establish context, but they do not prove where the film will rank next week.

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What to Watch Before the Aug. 25 Netflix Chart

The most important update is the Aug. 25 release of the official Global Top 10 Movies list. The event concerns one precise outcome: The Last House must be No. 2 on that chart.

Until then, watch whether The Last House remains near 93% across both venues. Agreement would show that the high estimate is not isolated to one platform. A widening spread would make the combined number less stable.

For live prices on both eligible films, see the Global Netflix No. 2 movie odds hub.

The current answer is specific: The Last House is officially No. 1 on Netflix's latest completed global movie chart, while prediction markets price it near 93% to finish No. 2 on the chart published Aug. 25.