Live prediction market odds for #2 Global Netflix Movie this week?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-08-25
This market resolved on 2026-08-25. The Last House was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the #2 Global Netflix Movie for the week of August 25, 2026.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the #2 Global Netflix Movie for the week of August 25, 2026. Viewer preferences, marketing strategies, and competition from other releases will influence which film secures this ranking.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
The Last HouseWINNER | 98% | 99% |
Don't Say Good Luck | 4% | 0% |
72 HOURS | 1% | — |
Extinction | 1% | 0% |
Freefall: A Reckoning for Boeing | — | 0% |
To Catch a Cheater | — | 0% |
Arthur the King | 0% | 0% |
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory | 0% | — |
In the Land of Saints and Sinners | 0% | — |
KPop Demon Hunters | 0% | — |
Spider-Man: Far from Home | 0% | — |
What a Girl Wants | 0% | — |
The Last House
98.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf The Last House is #2 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Aug 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Netflix charts are updated on Tuesday. Therefore, the market will close at 11:59 PM ET the day before. The chart published on Aug 25, 2026 will be for the week ending the previous Sunday. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Netflix. Any references to Netflix, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.
The ranking is influenced by viewer engagement, marketing efforts, and the release schedule of competing films. Audience ratings and social media buzz also play a significant role.
Netflix updates its global movie rankings weekly, reflecting the latest viewing data. This ensures that the rankings are current and reflect viewer preferences.
A high ranking often indicates strong viewer interest and engagement, which can lead to increased visibility and potential for future projects. It can also impact the film's success in terms of revenue and critical reception.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are The Last House: 98.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.1¢ on Polymarket; Don't Say Good Luck: 4.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket; 72 HOURS: 1.0¢ on Kalshi; Extinction: 1.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
