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News AnalysisKhalil MackChicago BearsLos Angeles ChargersNFL Trade DeadlineKalshi

Will Khalil Mack Be Traded to the Bears? Chargers Say He Stays

November 9, 20262 min readJoseph Francia, Market Analyst
ChicagoKalshi

2%Down8 ptsfrom 10% when published, 4 days ago

  • Traders have largely abandoned a Bears reunion for Khalil Mack after the Chargers signaled he stays through the trade deadline.
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Will Khalil Mack Be Traded to the Bears Before the Deadline? Chargers Say No

Chicago is unlikely to acquire Khalil Mack before the deadline. ESPN's Adam Schefter and NFL Network's Ian Rapoport reported on Nov. 7 that Mack "will not be going anywhere before Tuesday's deadline," meaning the Nov. 10 cutoff, per sources, according to NBC Sports. The Chargers were 0-7 at the time and fell to 0-8 after a 44-22 loss to Houston on Nov. 8, and the team's stance has held.

Both the coach and the player backed the reports. Jim Harbaugh said, "I want Khalil Mack here... He's one of the pillars of our team." Mack said he wants to stay in Los Angeles and "help them win," while acknowledging the "outside noise."

On Kalshi, Chicago's contract in the Khalil Mack Next Team market fell from 36% to 10% over three days, a drop of roughly 26 percentage points. The slide lines up with the Nov. 7 reports, and Chicago now sits at the lowest price the contract has traded in this window.

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Chicago's Khalil Mack Odds and What Could Still Change Them

By Nov. 9, Chicago had held at the 10% low with no rebound after the Nov. 7 reports.

Chicago was not the only suitor priced out. Cleveland and San Francisco had also been linked to Mack, but Heavy Sports described the Browns option as "off the market." Chicago, at 7-2 and second in the NFC North (NFL.com), already added DT Jeffery Simmons from Tennessee for two first-round picks. CHI City Sports called the Chargers' blowout loss the "best possible update" and suggested it could prompt Los Angeles to re-evaluate.

The counter-case is narrow but real. Rapoport said around Nov. 1 that he "wouldn't be surprised if a Khalil Mack trade [was] in the offing" and that the Bears were "still calling around" on the edge. Statements of intent from Harbaugh and the front office are not binding, and an 0-8 record could test them. A 10% implied probability on Nov. 9 prices in exactly that residual risk. Readers tracking every outcome can follow the full Khalil Mack Next Team market.

The confirming event is the Nov. 10 trade deadline. If Mack is still a Charger once it passes, the in-season trade path closes ahead of the market's Dec. 1 resolution. A surprise deal before then would reverse the move.

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