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Live prediction market odds for Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score). Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.

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Claim offerLegal in USAVerified Sep 14, 2026

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Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score)

2027-03-14

Best price · tap to trade

The Odyssey61¢1.64xKalshiDune: Part Three24¢4.17xKalshiThe Black Ball10¢10.00xKalshi
Compare all 13 outcomes across 2 venues

About This Market

Traders give The Odyssey about a 46.5% chance. Dune: Part Three follows at 24.5%, The Black Ball follows at 9.2%, and Disclosure Day follows at 8.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 7.0 percentage points.

Traders give The Odyssey about a 46.5% chance. Dune: Part Three follows at 24.5%, The Black Ball follows at 9.2%, and Disclosure Day follows at 8.3%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 7.0 percentage points.

Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Oscar Winner for Best Music (Original Score) set for March 14, 2027. This category highlights the creative achievements in film scoring, influencing industry recognition and future projects for composers.

Price History

Multi-Platform Probabilities
Loading 30D data…

Live Markets

2 platforms
OutcomeConsensus
KalshiKalshi
PolymarketPolymarket
Best price
TO
The OdysseyARB
47%
Kalshi61¢
Polymarket43¢
Kalshi1.64x61¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
50.0%48¢61¢39¢52¢
PolymarketPolymarket
43.0%41¢43¢57¢59¢
DP
Dune: Part Three
25%
Kalshi24¢
Polymarket30¢
Kalshi4.17x24¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
22.0%20¢24¢76¢80¢
PolymarketPolymarket
27.0%24¢30¢70¢76¢
TB
The Black Ball
9%
Kalshi10¢
Polymarket20¢
Kalshi10.00x10¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
8.0%6¢10¢90¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
10.5%1¢20¢80¢99¢
DD
Disclosure Day
8%
Kalshi14¢
Polymarket7¢
Kalshi7.14x14¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
10.0%6¢14¢86¢94¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.7%6¢7¢93¢94¢
PH
Project Hail Mary
8%
Kalshi13¢
Polymarket8¢
Kalshi7.69x13¢
PlatformImplied %Yes bid / askNo bid / ask
KalshiKalshi
9.0%5¢13¢87¢95¢
PolymarketPolymarket
6.5%5¢8¢92¢95¢
KalshiKalshiPolymarketPolymarket

Best price among US-regulated venues.

Candidate Spotlight

About Project Hail Mary

Daniel Pemberton is a British composer known for his work in film and television. He composed the score for the 2026 science fiction film 'Project Hail Mary,' directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller. Pemberton's innovative and versatile compositions have earned him critical acclaim and numerous awards.

Smart Trade Router

$
¢

Resolution Oracles

KalshiKalshi
Kalshi Rules
Read Full Market Rulebooks
Stats
Spread7.0%
Platforms2
Candidates13
Leader

The Odyssey

46.5% avg

Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases

Market Rulebook: Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score)

Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.

KalshiKalshi
Primary Rule

If The Adventures of Cliff Booth has won Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

Edge Cases

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Resolution Oracles
Kalshi Rules

Frequently Asked Questions

What factors influence the odds for the Best Music (Original Score) Oscar?

Factors include film nominations, critical acclaim, and previous awards won by the composers. Additionally, trends in film scoring and audience reception can impact predictions.

How do prediction markets work for the Oscars?

Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes, with prices reflecting the collective wisdom of the market. As events unfold, such as nominations and performances, odds can fluctuate.

Why is the Best Music (Original Score) category significant?

This category recognizes the artistic contribution of composers to films, often influencing their careers and future projects. Winning can elevate a composer's profile and lead to more high-profile opportunities.

What does the Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score) prediction market track?

The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.

What are the latest Oscar Winner: Best Music (Original Score) odds?

The latest available prices are The Odyssey: 50.0¢ on Kalshi, 43.0¢ on Polymarket; Dune: Part Three: 22.0¢ on Kalshi, 27.0¢ on Polymarket; The Black Ball: 8.0¢ on Kalshi, 10.5¢ on Polymarket; Disclosure Day: 10.0¢ on Kalshi, 6.7¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.

Learn more:How to Read Prediction Market PricesCompare Fees Before You TradeNew to Polymarket?

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Final odds

Prediction HuntPrediction.com coverage

The Black Ball Drops to 10% as The Odyssey Claims 58% by DefaultNo news triggered the fall. The Black Ball lost 9 percentage points in three days as The Odyssey absorbed share across the entire Best Original Score field.Sep 21, 2026The Odyssey Hits 58% for Best Original Score With No Rival in SightAn 8-point climb in 3 days reflects a competitive vacuum, not a campaign breakthrough. Fall contenders haven't been heard yet.Sep 19, 2026The Odyssey Jumps 13 Points to 62% for Best Original ScoreWin probability moved from 49% to 62% in three days. Five films are now clustered within 9 points for four remaining nomination slots.Sep 12, 2026Project Hail Mary Jumps to 26% for Best Original Score With No CatalystThe film rose 17 points in three days despite no reviews, no precursor results, and no confirmed news. The ceremony is March 14, 2027.Sep 3, 2026