Live prediction market odds for #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Sep 5, 2026?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Resolved 2026-09-01
This market resolved on 2026-09-01. Boston - Stella Lefty was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the song that will reach #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 5, 2026.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the song that will reach #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of September 5, 2026. This market resolves based on the official Billboard chart published on that date, with odds fluctuating based on song popularity and streaming metrics leading up to the release.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Boston - Stella LeftyWINNER | 99% | 100% |
I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift | 4% | 0% |
Been By Now - Morgan Wallen | 2% | 0% |
BE BY YOU | 1% | — |
Earrings | 1% | — |
I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE | 1% | — |
I Just Might | 1% | — |
JADED | 1% | — |
Janice STFU | 1% | — |
Loser | 1% | — |
Man I Need | 1% | — |
Midnight Sun | 1% | — |
OH YEAH | 1% | — |
ORDINARY | 1% | — |
Risk It All | 1% | — |
So Easy (To Fall In Love) | 1% | — |
Some of Your Love | 1% | — |
stupid song | 1% | — |
the cure | 1% | — |
Be Her - Ella Langley | 1% | 0% |
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley | 1% | 0% |
hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande | 1% | 0% |
Petal - Ariana Grande | 1% | 0% |
Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo | — | 0% |
Boston - Stella Lefty
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf petal is #2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
The market resolves based on the Billboard Hot 100 chart published on September 5, 2026. The song that ranks #2 on that chart will be the winning outcome.
Odds fluctuate based on factors such as song releases, streaming numbers, and radio play leading up to the chart date. As songs gain popularity, their odds may increase or decrease accordingly.
Final results will be available after the Billboard Hot 100 chart is released on September 5, 2026. The resolution of the market will occur shortly after the chart is published.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result. This event is archived; prices shown are historical.
The last available prices are Boston - Stella Lefty: 99.0¢ on Kalshi, 99.9¢ on Polymarket; I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift: 4.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket; Been By Now - Morgan Wallen: 2.0¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket; BE BY YOU: 1.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity. The last available price is not necessarily the final settlement price.
