Traders give Julianne Moore about a 98.0% chance. Inde Navarrette follows at 79.5%, Olivia Wilde follows at 76.0%, and Sandra Hüller follows at 67.0%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Julianne Moore is an American actress and author. She won the Academy Award for Best Actress for her role in 'Still Alice' (2014). She is recognized for her versatile performances in both independent and blockbuster films.
About Inde Navarrette
Inde Navarrette is an American actress known for her role as Sarah Cushing in the television series 'Superman & Lois'. She gained widespread recognition for her performance in the horror film 'Obsession', which became a global box office success. Navarrette's versatility and compelling screen presence have established her as a rising talent in the entertainment industry.
About Sandra Hüller
Sandra Hüller is a German actress. She won the Silver Bear for Best Actress at the 2026 Berlinale for her role in 'Rose'. She is recognized for her versatile performances in both German and international cinema.
About Zendaya
Zendaya is an American actress and singer. She gained prominence for her role as Rue Bennett in the HBO series 'Euphoria,' earning two Primetime Emmy Awards. Her diverse career includes starring in films like 'Dune: Part Two' and 'Challengers,' and she continues to influence the entertainment industry.
About Renate Reinsve
Renate Reinsve is a Norwegian actress known for her role as Julie in 'The Worst Person in the World' (2021). She won the Cannes Film Festival Award for Best Actress for this performance. Reinsve's work in 'Sentimental Value' (2025) earned her nominations for the Academy Award, Golden Globe, and BAFTA, making her the second Norwegian to be nominated for Best Actress.
About Emily Blunt
Emily Blunt is a British actress known for her roles in films like 'The Devil Wears Prada' and 'A Quiet Place.' She won a Golden Globe Award for Best Supporting Actress for 'Gideon's Daughter' in 2006. Blunt has received multiple accolades, including an Academy Award nomination for 'Oppenheimer' in 2023.
About Mikey Madison
Mikey Madison is an American actress known for her role as Max Fox in the FX series 'Better Things' (2016–2022). She gained recognition portraying Susan 'Sadie' Atkins in Quentin Tarantino's 'Once Upon a Time in Hollywood' (2019). Madison's performance in 'Anora' (2024) earned her the Academy Award for Best Actress.
About Daisy Edgar-Jones
Daisy Edgar-Jones is an English actress known for her role as Marianne Sheridan in the television series 'Normal People' (2020). She gained recognition for her starring role in the BBC/Hulu romantic drama limited series 'Normal People' (2020), which earned her nominations for a British Academy Television Award and a Golden Globe Award. She is relevant to this prediction market due to her established career in film and television, including leading roles in 'Fresh' (2022) and 'Where the Crawdads Sing' (2022).
About Scarlett Johansson
Scarlett Johansson is an American actress and producer. She is the highest-grossing actor in Hollywood, with her films earning over $14.8 billion worldwide. Johansson's extensive career includes leading roles in major franchises and critically acclaimed films.
About Penélope Cruz
Penélope Cruz is a Spanish actress and model. She won the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress for her role in 'Vicky Cristina Barcelona' (2008). Cruz is recognized for her versatility and has received multiple award nominations throughout her career.
About Cynthia Erivo
Cynthia Erivo is a British actress and singer, currently serving as Artist in Residence and Tutor in Vocal Practice at the Royal Academy of Dramatic Art (RADA). She won the Tony Award for Best Actress in a Musical for her role as Celie in the Broadway revival of 'The Color Purple' (2015–2017). Erivo is recognized for her versatility across stage and screen, with notable performances in 'Harriet' (2019) and 'Wicked' (2024).
About Lily Gladstone
Lily Gladstone is an American actress known for her role as Mollie Kyle in Martin Scorsese's 'Killers of the Flower Moon' (2023). She made history as the first Native American to win the Golden Globe Award for Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama. Gladstone's performances in independent films and television series have established her as a leading figure in contemporary cinema.
About Michelle Williams
Michelle Williams is an American actress known for her work in independent films and television. She received Academy Award nominations for her roles in 'Brokeback Mountain' and 'Manchester by the Sea'. Williams has been recognized with three Golden Globe Awards and a Primetime Emmy Award.
About Natalie Portman
Natalie Portman is an actress, producer, and director. She won the Academy Award for Best Actress for her role in Black Swan (2010). She is known for her versatility and commitment to her roles.
About Shailene Woodley
Shailene Woodley is an American actress and environmental activist. She gained prominence for her role in 'The Descendants' (2011) and starred in the 'Divergent' series (2014–2016). Woodley is known for her versatility and commitment to environmental causes.
About Kirsten Dunst
Kirsten Dunst is an American actress known for her role as Mary Jane Watson in the Spider-Man trilogy. She received an Academy Award nomination for Best Supporting Actress for her performance in The Power of the Dog. Dunst has been recognized with a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame for her contributions to the film industry.
Market RulebooksOfficial settlement criteria and edge cases
Market Rulebook: Oscar nominees: Best Actress
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
Kalshi
Primary Rule
If Renate Reinsve has been nominated for Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Edge Cases
The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027.
This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
What factors influence the nominations for Best Actress?
Nominations are influenced by critical reviews, box office performance, and industry awards leading up to the Oscars. Additionally, campaign efforts by studios can play a significant role in visibility.
How does the Best Actress category impact the nominees' careers?
Receiving a nomination can elevate an actress's profile, leading to more prominent roles and opportunities. It often serves as a benchmark for talent and recognition within the industry.
When will the Oscar nominees for Best Actress be announced?
The nominees are typically announced a few weeks before the Oscars ceremony, which is scheduled for late January. This timing allows for final awards season buzz to build around the nominees.
What does the Oscar nominees: Best Actress prediction market track?
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
What are the latest Oscar nominees: Best Actress odds?
The latest available prices are Julianne Moore: 98.0¢ on Kalshi; Inde Navarrette: 79.5¢ on Kalshi; Olivia Wilde: 76.0¢ on Kalshi; Sandra Hüller: 67.0¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
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