Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner
Live prediction market odds for Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Antonio Martín del Campo about a 63.0% chance. Leonardo Montañez Castro follows at 26.0%, Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez follows at 4.5%, and Anayeli Muñoz Moreno follows at 0.8%. Compare prices from Kalshi and Polymarket. The largest cross-platform price difference is 12.0 percentage points.
Kalshi
PolymarketKalshiPolymarketBest price among US-regulated venues.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Toño Martín del Campo wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
PolymarketGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The winner is determined by the total votes received on election day. Candidates will campaign throughout the election period to sway public opinion.
Polling results can influence market odds by reflecting public sentiment towards candidates. As new polls are released, traders adjust their positions based on perceived chances of winning.
Trading closes on the scheduled trading close date, which is set for June 7, 2027. Traders must make their predictions before this deadline.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi, Polymarket in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Antonio Martín del Campo: 57.0¢ on Kalshi, 69.0¢ on Polymarket; Leonardo Montañez Castro: 29.0¢ on Kalshi, 23.0¢ on Polymarket; Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez: 8.0¢ on Kalshi, 1.1¢ on Polymarket; Anayeli Muñoz Moreno: 1.5¢ on Kalshi, 0.1¢ on Polymarket. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
