About This Market
Traders give Above 249 about a 99.3% chance. 210-213 follows at 0.1%, 214-217 follows at 0.1%, and 218-221 follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
Live prediction market odds for How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
Listed Updated Expected to settle by
Traders give Above 249 about a 99.3% chance. 210-213 follows at 0.1%, 214-217 follows at 0.1%, and 218-221 follows at 0.1%. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Kalshi
KalshiOfficial settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf the Democratic party has below 210 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Above 249: 99.3¢ on Kalshi; 210-213: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; 214-217: 0.1¢ on Kalshi; 218-221: 0.1¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Venues have different traders, liquidity and fees, so their prices can differ. A cross-platform comparison needs available prices for the same outcome on at least two venues.
For example, Above 249 at 99.3¢ implies about a 99.3% chance. For a standard $1 contract, a share pays $1 if its outcome settles as correct and $0 if it settles as incorrect. A winning share bought at 40¢ earns 60¢ before fees. Check each venue’s settlement rules, fees and eligibility before trading.