About This Market
Traders give Another Fed rate hike in 2026? about a 96.5% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Live prediction market odds for Another Fed rate hike in 2026?. Compare prices across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
Best price · tap to trade
Traders give Another Fed rate hike in 2026? about a 96.5% chance. Compare prices from Polymarket and Predict.fun. The largest cross-platform price difference is 1.0 percentage points.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Polymarket and Predict.fun.
PolymarketThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Predict.funThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between September 17, 2026 and the completion of the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8 to 9, 2026, inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the December meeting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any change to the target federal funds rate announced at the conclusion of the September 15 to 16, 2026 FOMC meeting will not count toward this market. Emergency rate hikes announced on or after September 17, 2026 will qualify. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The market resolves based on the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates during their meetings. Any official announcement regarding rate hikes will determine the outcome.
Economic indicators such as inflation rates, employment data, and GDP growth influence the Fed's decision-making process. Changes in these indicators can lead to shifts in market odds leading up to the resolution.
Scheduled trading close for this market is set for December 10, 2026. However, the actual resolution may occur earlier if the Fed makes a rate hike decision before that date.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Polymarket, Predict.fun in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Another Fed rate hike in 2026?: 97.0¢ on Polymarket, 96.0¢ on Predict.fun. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.
Smart money is buying Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Buy Yes at 97¢Wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit · last 24h
Smart money is buying Another Fed rate hike in 2026?
Buy Yes at 97¢Wallets with $10K+ lifetime profit · last 24h