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Traders give Before 2030 about a 47.7% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
Live prediction market odds for Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?. Compare prices across Kalshi.
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Traders give Before 2030 about a 47.7% chance. Compare prices from Kalshi.
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf a major meteor (10 kilotons TNT equivalent or greater) hits Earth before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
A major meteor strike typically refers to an impact event that could cause significant damage, potentially affecting large areas or populations. These events are often classified by their size and the energy released upon impact.
Current measures include monitoring near-Earth objects through telescopes and space missions aimed at tracking their trajectories. Additionally, research is ongoing into potential deflection techniques to alter the path of threatening asteroids.
Meteor strikes occur frequently, with smaller meteors entering the atmosphere daily, but most burn up before reaching the ground. Major impacts are rare, with significant events happening on average every few hundred thousand years.
The outcomes listed above show how traders are pricing this question. Compare outcome prices from Kalshi in one place. Each price reflects the market’s implied probability, not a guaranteed result.
The latest available prices are Before 2030: 47.7¢ on Kalshi. Prices are quoted in cents per $1 share. Check the venue for executable prices and available liquidity.